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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 30, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Cavaliers33%99101
9Hawks67%105109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.8
42.6
38.0
35
58%
6
9
2
2
0
8
2
4
6-7
86%
10-17
6-12
59%
48%
3-10
30%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.8
42.0
32.1
18
63%
13
0
0
1
0
1
3
10
0-5
0%
9-12
3-7
75%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.3
24.3
33.7
7
36%
7
1
2
1
0
1
1
6
4-4
100%
0-7
4-8
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.3
21.1
23.2
6
50%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
2-4
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.9
19.1
23.9
0
0%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.3
27.1
4.1
13
82%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-3
0-0
33%
44%
3-4
75%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.2
25.6
5.9
9
45%
3
2
3
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
35%
3-9
33%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
25.4
25.9
9
40%
3
4
2
1
0
4
0
3
2-3
67%
2-7
4-8
29%
45%
1-3
33%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.2
8.1
9.4
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.1
4.7
2.8
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.6
17.0
1
2-3
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.1
4.1
0
0-1
47%
Alex Kirk
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.1
0.7
0
0-0
47%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.3
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.8
40.2
31.5
19
86%
8
1
0
1
1
2
1
7
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
5-8
63%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.9
36.9
32.4
26
66%
9
3
2
2
3
0
0
9
6-6
100%
10-15
5-9
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.6
34.8
30.0
23
66%
5
11
3
1
0
5
2
3
6-10
60%
7-9
4-8
78%
49%
1-4
25%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.4
28.1
31.0
7
38%
9
1
1
1
0
0
2
7
3-3
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
52%
0-4
0%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
24.4
13.2
5
32%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
1-4
25%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
24.5
18.9
6
44%
5
1
3
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.5
21.1
12.4
12
61%
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
53%
2-4
50%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.3
15.3
16.6
11
74%
2
3
1
1
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
48%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.8
9.3
6.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.5
5.4
7.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.6
30.2
1
7-12
55%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.7
11.4
0
1-2
47%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.5
3.5
0
1-1
51%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.9
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.