Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, December 30, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pistons | 49% | 100 | 109 |
 | 25 | Magic | 51% | 101 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Nets | 25% | 97 | 96 |
 | 5 | Bulls | 75% | 106 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Pelicans | 52% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Mavericks | 67% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Lakers | 37% | 105 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Timberwolves | 34% | 100 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Raptors | 49% | 104 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, December 29, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bucks | 46% | 98 | 104 |
 | 23 | Hornets | 54% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bulls | 59% | 99 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 19 | Nets | 54% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 35% | 93 | 102 |
 | 14 | Heat | 65% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 34% | 95 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 19% | 98 | 97 |
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Sunday, December 28, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 24% | 100 | 103 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 76% | 109 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 43% | 98 | 106 |
| 3 | Spurs | 57% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Thunder | 42% | 102 | 107 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 58% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Knicks | 27% | 97 | 79 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 73% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 57% | 107 | 116 |
| 21 | Nuggets | 43% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 66% | 109 | 116 |
| 28 | Lakers | 34% | 104 | 107 |
Saturday, December 27, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 31% | 103 | 110 |
| 1 | Clippers | 69% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 43% | 95 | 102 |
| 25 | Hornets | 57% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Celtics | 30% | 98 | 88 |
| 13 | Wizards | 70% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 49% | 95 | 103 |
| 17 | Heat | 51% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 27% | 99 | 100 |
| 3 | Bulls | 73% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 43% | 95 | 110 |
| 18 | Nets | 57% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 57% | 101 | 90 |
| 23 | Bucks | 43% | 99 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 28% | 93 | 71 |
| 22 | Jazz | 72% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 39% | 99 | 129 |
| 16 | Kings | 61% | 103 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 9% | 97 | 97 |
| 2 | Warriors | 91% | 115 | 110 |
Friday, December 26, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 45% | 102 | 109 |
| 19 | Celtics | 55% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 60% | 102 | 98 |
| 24 | Magic | 40% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 27% | 96 | 107 |
| 9 | Hawks | 73% | 105 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 53% | 99 | 109 |
| 27 | Pistons | 47% | 98 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 48% | 96 | 117 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 52% | 97 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 47% | 101 | 90 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 53% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 33% | 94 | 75 |
| 11 | Thunder | 67% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 16% | 101 | 98 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 84% | 115 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 27% | 102 | 102 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 73% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 22% | 93 | 93 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 78% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 59% | 106 | 115 |
| 21 | Kings | 41% | 103 | 106 |
Thursday, December 25, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 60% | 100 | 102 |
| 26 | Knicks | 40% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 41% | 96 | 114 |
| 9 | Spurs | 59% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 63% | 102 | 91 |
| 19 | Heat | 37% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 20% | 98 | 93 |
| 5 | Bulls | 80% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 37% | 105 | 86 |
| 1 | Clippers | 63% | 110 | 100 |
Tuesday, December 23, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 13% | 98 | 104 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 87% | 113 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 51% | 100 | 84 |
| 17 | Pacers | 49% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 49% | 102 | 95 |
| 24 | Magic | 51% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bulls | 49% | 99 | 99 |
| 14 | Wizards | 51% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 51% | 105 | 104 |
| 9 | Hawks | 49% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 40% | 99 | 96 |
| 21 | Nets | 60% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 30% | 91 | 91 |
| 18 | Heat | 70% | 98 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 39% | 97 | 108 |
| 22 | Bucks | 61% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 95 | 115 |
| 6 | Thunder | 67% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 45% | 106 | 115 |
| 11 | Suns | 55% | 108 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 69% | 109 | 105 |
| 28 | Lakers | 31% | 103 | 115 |
Monday, December 22, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 51% | 103 | 82 |
| 25 | Hornets | 49% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 38% | 99 | 120 |
| 5 | Bulls | 62% | 104 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 98 | 95 |
| 6 | Rockets | 63% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Jazz | 31% | 94 | 97 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 69% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 34% | 101 | 105 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 66% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 57% | 104 | 118 |
| 12 | Spurs | 43% | 101 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 19% | 96 | 108 |
| 1 | Warriors | 81% | 108 | 128 |
Sunday, December 21, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 18% | 95 | 108 |
| 6 | Raptors | 82% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 38% | 99 | 91 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 62% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 33% | 101 | 101 |
| 16 | Kings | 67% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 42% | 97 | 105 |
| 23 | Nets | 58% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 47% | 100 | 84 |
| 19 | Heat | 53% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 30% | 92 | 96 |
| 21 | Magic | 70% | 100 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 38% | 99 | 104 |
| 13 | Wizards | 62% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 59% | 101 | 100 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 41% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 28% | 96 | 101 |
| 8 | Thunder | 72% | 104 | 99 |
Saturday, December 20, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 62% | 105 | 99 |
| 27 | Knicks | 38% | 101 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 102 | 114 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 56% | 105 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 44% | 99 | 86 |
| 25 | Hornets | 56% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 34% | 96 | 104 |
| 4 | Rockets | 66% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 36% | 101 | 93 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 64% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 42% | 100 | 73 |
| 16 | Nuggets | 58% | 103 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 19% | 98 | 102 |
| 1 | Clippers | 81% | 110 | 106 |
Friday, December 19, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 44% | 98 | 101 |
| 22 | Magic | 56% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 58% | 98 | 109 |
| 30 | 76ers | 42% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 35% | 103 | 98 |
| 20 | Celtics | 65% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 27% | 98 | 91 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 73% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 65% | 104 | 110 |
| 25 | Pistons | 35% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 56% | 96 | 105 |
| 19 | Heat | 44% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 36% | 94 | 103 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 64% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 98 | 129 |
| 6 | Spurs | 63% | 102 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 64% | 110 | 106 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 36% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 63% | 104 | 104 |
| 28 | Lakers | 37% | 99 | 103 |
Thursday, December 18, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 23% | 93 | 97 |
| 7 | Bulls | 77% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 35% | 100 | 99 |
| 5 | Rockets | 65% | 105 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 32% | 97 | 108 |
| 16 | Kings | 68% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 35% | 97 | 109 |
| 1 | Warriors | 65% | 103 | 114 |
Wednesday, December 17, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 58% | 103 | 111 |
| 25 | Hornets | 42% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 32% | 98 | 127 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 68% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 44% | 100 | 92 |
| 19 | Celtics | 56% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 62% | 107 | 117 |
| 22 | Pistons | 38% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 37% | 95 | 105 |
| 18 | Heat | 63% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 24% | 96 | 89 |
| 8 | Raptors | 76% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 40% | 95 | 117 |
| 9 | Spurs | 60% | 99 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 26% | 97 | 97 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 74% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 20% | 95 | 100 |
| 2 | Clippers | 80% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 57% | 104 | 115 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 43% | 102 | 111 |