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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 30, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs
87
10Grizzlies
95
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.8
35
29
18
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
4-7
57%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
31
32
18
3
3
3
1
0
4
3
0
0-1
0%
9-12
4-8
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.7
29
30
9
10
2
1
1
0
1
1
9
1-2
50%
4-7
6-12
57%
48%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.5
24
32
7
3
3
1
1
3
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-6
17%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.0
13
17
6
4
0
2
0
1
2
1
3
2-4
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.4
27
24
6
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
19
15
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.4
18
19
10
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
13
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.3
12
8
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.7
11
20
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.1
6
12
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.6
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
39%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.6
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.9
37
33
17
9
5
0
1
2
3
1
8
5-7
71%
6-12
7-14
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.2
33
31
30
7
6
1
1
0
4
0
7
6-7
86%
6-8
5-9
75%
48%
4-5
80%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.2
31
32
8
4
5
2
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
50%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.0
28
20
7
3
1
3
1
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
3-8
2-5
38%
49%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.6
10
20
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.8
34
26
12
6
3
0
0
0
3
1
5
4-4
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
19
14
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
2-3
67%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.9
18
20
2
3
2
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.5
15
18
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
51%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.8
12
17
6
1
0
0
0
2
3
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
0-0
-
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.0
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.5
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.9
3
0
0-1
49%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.