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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 30, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Wizards
87
5Mavericks
114
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
31
34
11
4
8
0
2
1
3
1
3
3-4
75%
4-6
5-11
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.5
29
34
10
4
2
2
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
3-11
4-9
27%
43%
1-3
33%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.2
22
25
9
5
2
2
1
0
4
1
4
3-6
50%
0-3
3-5
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
21
29
10
4
0
1
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
5-9
5-9
56%
52%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.3
16
24
7
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
3-4
4-8
75%
50%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.6
23
24
3
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.1
22
16
9
6
1
0
0
2
1
2
4
1-1
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
22
19
11
7
3
0
0
0
0
2
5
3-4
75%
4-5
3-6
80%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.8
17
12
2
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.1
14
11
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
0-3
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.7
12
2
9
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
4-6
0-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.6
8
13
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.6
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 24.0
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.9
28
32
11
1
5
1
2
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
0-1
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.2
28
33
20
0
2
4
2
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
7-13
6-13
54%
48%
1-2
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.2
28
31
14
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
2-4
50%
3-6
4-7
50%
53%
2-2
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.5
27
27
13
8
2
0
1
1
1
0
8
9-10
90%
2-8
5-10
25%
51%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.2
22
31
2
12
1
0
1
1
1
1
11
0-0
-
1-2
4-6
50%
62%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.5
24
19
14
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
48%
2-2
100%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.5
22
17
5
2
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
1-3
33%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
21
17
8
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
2-4
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
59%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.8
13
20
3
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.3
12
14
14
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.3
6
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.4
6
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.5
6
6
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.