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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 9, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Magic44%10184
26Lakers56%103101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
35.4
32.7
15
44%
4
3
1
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-13
5-10
38%
51%
1-3
33%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.7
34.5
33.1
17
59%
2
3
2
2
0
3
1
1
7-10
70%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
27.8
31.7
14
54%
11
1
1
1
0
1
2
9
2-2
100%
6-12
7-14
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24.8
27.8
16.8
0
0%
7
3
1
1
2
1
0
7
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 20.9
21.4
30.2
2
25%
2
2
1
2
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-8
25%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.9
25.2
11.3
12
60%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
47%
2-3
67%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.2
18.8
23.0
11
60%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 31.6
18.1
19.2
6
75%
2
3
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
17.4
11.9
5
36%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.4
5.0
6.6
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.8
4.4
13.3
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.3
4.1
3.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.5
3.4
0
0-1
44%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.3
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
36.6
13.5
13
55%
8
1
1
0
0
0
0
8
4-4
100%
0-5
1-2
0%
48%
3-5
60%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.1
27.2
27.1
4
22%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
48%
0-2
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.6
24.3
16.9
7
47%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 27.5
22.7
24.2
11
43%
9
2
0
0
0
1
1
8
1-2
50%
5-12
5-9
42%
52%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
21.8
25.8
10
63%
10
1
1
1
3
0
6
4
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
56%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
29.4
22.7
18
55%
3
6
4
1
2
5
0
3
5-10
50%
2-7
3-5
29%
50%
3-5
60%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 33.1
26.2
19.7
12
50%
14
0
0
0
1
0
2
12
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.6
19.7
26.7
9
30%
0
0
1
1
0
3
0
0
5-5
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
45%
0-6
0%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
17.2
6.4
14
99%
9
0
0
0
1
0
5
4
6-7
86%
4-4
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.6
8.1
12.3
1
17%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 22.6
6.8
12.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 36.4
23.9
1
4-9
48%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.5
10.8
0
1-2
48%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 40.9
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.