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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 22, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs62%10281
13Bulls38%98104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.6
27
31
16
4
0
0
2
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
4-9
5-9
44%
54%
1-2
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
25
29
8
3
1
0
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.7
23
26
6
7
2
0
1
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.7
21
27
9
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
5-10
43%
50%
1-2
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.1
21
20
4
7
1
1
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
54%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.8
23
23
2
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
52%
0-3
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.4
22
20
12
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
2-6
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.5
18
21
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-3
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 24.6
15
3
8
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
0
0-0
-
4-5
0-1
80%
47%
0-2
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
14
16
11
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-5
60%
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.8
13
9
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.1
9
15
0
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
9
4
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.3
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
37
35
15
9
1
1
1
4
1
4
5
5-8
63%
5-13
5-10
38%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.2
34
16
12
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
4-5
80%
4-5
1-2
80%
45%
0-6
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.5
31
34
12
17
2
0
0
2
1
1
16
2-2
100%
5-6
7-14
83%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.4
28
38
17
4
2
1
2
1
1
0
4
7-7
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
48%
2-2
100%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.3
27
32
22
2
5
2
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
7-12
5-12
58%
47%
2-4
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.1
26
27
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.0
25
19
15
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
5-7
71%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.9
15
17
6
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.4
10
2
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.9
3
10
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.1
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
2
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.4
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.