Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, January 22, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Bulls | 38% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Bucks | 68% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Celtics | 31% | 100 | 90 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Nets | 16% | 97 | 84 |
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Wednesday, January 21, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Heat | 45% | 94 | 76 |
 | 21 | Hornets | 55% | 95 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Jazz | 25% | 98 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Knicks | 51% | 97 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Magic | 34% | 99 | 118 |
 | 16 | Pistons | 66% | 104 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Raptors | 41% | 100 | 86 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Mavericks | 75% | 112 | 98 |
 | 28 | Timberwolves | 25% | 102 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Lakers | 36% | 102 | 80 |
 | 20 | Pelicans | 64% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Thunder | 48% | 99 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 104 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 41% | 98 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, January 20, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 56% | 98 | 94 |
| 15 | Heat | 44% | 96 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 72% | 106 | 109 |
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Monday, January 19, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 36% | 97 | 80 |
| 26 | Hornets | 64% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 19% | 88 | 76 |
| 13 | Wizards | 81% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 30% | 98 | 82 |
| 6 | Hawks | 70% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 17% | 101 | 93 |
| 1 | Clippers | 83% | 114 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 21% | 101 | 79 |
| 3 | Warriors | 79% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 40% | 100 | 103 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 60% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 25% | 93 | 98 |
| 5 | Rockets | 75% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 58% | 102 | 92 |
| 29 | Knicks | 42% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 51% | 103 | 92 |
| 17 | Bucks | 49% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 37% | 104 | 94 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 63% | 108 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 29% | 99 | 94 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 71% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 24% | 102 | 100 |
| 9 | Suns | 76% | 112 | 115 |
Sunday, January 18, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 30% | 101 | 95 |
| 8 | Raptors | 70% | 109 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 68% | 103 | 127 |
| 23 | Magic | 32% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 18% | 91 | 69 |
| 1 | Spurs | 82% | 104 | 89 |
Saturday, January 17, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 42% | 93 | 71 |
| 23 | Hornets | 58% | 96 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 22% | 93 | 89 |
| 17 | Pistons | 78% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 46% | 100 | 107 |
| 13 | Bulls | 54% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 43% | 103 | 131 |
| 4 | Rockets | 57% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 97 | 98 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 56% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 55% | 98 | 99 |
| 25 | Nets | 45% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 24% | 102 | 113 |
| 16 | Nuggets | 76% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 67% | 108 | 117 |
| 19 | Kings | 33% | 102 | 108 |
Friday, January 16, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 47% | 99 | 98 |
| 21 | Pacers | 53% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 61% | 97 | 106 |
| 25 | Magic | 39% | 93 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 74% | 103 | 81 |
| 30 | 76ers | 26% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 28% | 93 | 102 |
| 12 | Wizards | 72% | 101 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 54% | 106 | 119 |
| 20 | Celtics | 46% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 41% | 101 | 110 |
| 6 | Raptors | 59% | 104 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 55% | 105 | 115 |
| 5 | Thunder | 45% | 103 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 34% | 104 | 89 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 66% | 110 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 96 | 96 |
| 1 | Spurs | 69% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 17% | 100 | 99 |
| 7 | Suns | 83% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 36% | 99 | 85 |
| 23 | Jazz | 64% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 49% | 96 | 95 |
| 22 | Kings | 51% | 97 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 25% | 104 | 126 |
| 2 | Clippers | 75% | 113 | 121 |
Thursday, January 15, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 44% | 100 | 101 |
| 4 | Rockets | 56% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 28% | 94 | 79 |
| 19 | Bucks | 72% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 63% | 109 | 109 |
| 26 | Lakers | 37% | 104 | 102 |
Wednesday, January 14, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 62% | 99 | 98 |
| 24 | Hornets | 38% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 70% | 102 | 113 |
| 27 | Magic | 30% | 95 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 65% | 99 | 103 |
| 25 | Nets | 35% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 46% | 103 | 105 |
| 17 | Pistons | 54% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 11% | 93 | 84 |
| 6 | Raptors | 89% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 37% | 96 | 105 |
| 12 | Bulls | 63% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 44% | 100 | 105 |
| 19 | Celtics | 56% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 53% | 108 | 107 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 47% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 21% | 92 | 89 |
| 1 | Warriors | 79% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 52% | 106 | 100 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 105 | 94 |
Tuesday, January 13, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 26% | 96 | 110 |
| 22 | Pacers | 74% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 78% | 102 | 105 |
| 30 | 76ers | 22% | 92 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 54% | 98 | 93 |
| 15 | Wizards | 46% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 38% | 105 | 100 |
| 9 | Suns | 62% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 76% | 104 | 116 |
| 23 | Jazz | 24% | 95 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 58% | 106 | 108 |
| 18 | Kings | 42% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 58% | 102 | 78 |
| 26 | Lakers | 42% | 99 | 75 |
Monday, January 12, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 56% | 106 | 100 |
| 22 | Celtics | 44% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 66% | 102 | 113 |
| 24 | Nets | 34% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 30% | 102 | 114 |
| 7 | Raptors | 70% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 24% | 92 | 121 |
| 12 | Bulls | 76% | 102 | 114 |
Sunday, January 11, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 38% | 96 | 89 |
| 9 | Hawks | 62% | 100 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 27% | 97 | 104 |
| 2 | Clippers | 73% | 106 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 39% | 100 | 110 |
| 4 | Grizzlies | 61% | 104 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cavaliers | 45% | 103 | 84 |
| 17 | Kings | 55% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 106 | 106 |
| 26 | Lakers | 39% | 102 | 94 |
Saturday, January 10, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 58% | 97 | 110 |
| 28 | Knicks | 42% | 94 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 36% | 105 | 100 |
| 2 | Clippers | 64% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 39% | 98 | 93 |
| 19 | Pistons | 61% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 69% | 98 | 92 |
| 30 | 76ers | 31% | 91 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 24% | 101 | 96 |
| 9 | Raptors | 76% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 30% | 94 | 87 |
| 11 | Bulls | 70% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 22% | 93 | 82 |
| 5 | Rockets | 78% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 77% | 108 | 108 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 23% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 19% | 93 | 92 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 81% | 105 | 103 |
Friday, January 9, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 40% | 98 | 103 |
| 19 | Pacers | 60% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 26% | 91 | 90 |
| 22 | Nets | 74% | 100 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hawks | 59% | 103 | 106 |
| 17 | Pistons | 41% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 46% | 99 | 95 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 54% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 26% | 94 | 94 |
| 6 | Thunder | 74% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bulls | 51% | 99 | 86 |
| 14 | Wizards | 49% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 27% | 99 | 84 |
| 21 | Bucks | 73% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 37% | 101 | 95 |
| 3 | Spurs | 63% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 43% | 103 | 118 |
| 16 | Kings | 57% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cavaliers | 20% | 99 | 94 |
| 1 | Warriors | 80% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 44% | 101 | 84 |
| 26 | Lakers | 56% | 103 | 101 |