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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 2, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Hornets29%9192
13Wizards71%9888
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 21.4
36.7
27.7
13
63%
13
3
1
1
0
0
2
11
5-10
50%
4-6
4-9
67%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 29.2
33.9
24.8
18
74%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
44%
1-3
33%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.2
33.4
27.3
17
58%
2
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
46%
1-2
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 30.1
31.4
27.9
18
47%
12
1
2
1
0
0
2
10
0-0
-
9-19
6-13
47%
50%
0-0
-
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 22.3
30.9
30.3
2
20%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-8
20%
46%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 24.4
23.2
25.7
8
50%
3
2
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
48%
0-3
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 28.6
17.5
7.2
0
0%
7
1
0
0
2
1
0
7
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.3
16.8
16.3
12
55%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
42%
2-4
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.0
16.2
16.3
4
67%
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 19.4
11.7
0
1-3
46%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.1
10.1
0
1-1
41%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 22.4
8.2
0
1-1
53%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 25.7
7.2
0
1-2
44%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.3
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.6
39.0
35.5
18
53%
11
1
1
1
0
1
0
11
2-2
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
45%
2-4
50%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.4
34.2
36.7
16
47%
1
10
0
2
0
4
1
0
7-7
100%
3-10
5-11
30%
48%
1-4
25%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.4
27.6
28.1
8
40%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-10
5-9
40%
52%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
23.6
26.0
4
33%
7
0
0
1
2
3
1
6
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
54%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.3
23.5
27.6
11
79%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
3-5
60%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.7
26.4
6.5
6
43%
0
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
25.5
25.6
13
61%
5
1
1
1
0
0
3
2
5-6
83%
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.2
18.9
13.0
6
38%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
52%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.7
14.5
17.7
4
41%
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.7
6.8
9.3
2
50%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.2
6.2
0
0-1
47%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.9
6.1
0
1-1
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
4.0
0
0-1
46%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.