Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, February 2, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 84 | |||
4 | Cavaliers | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hornets | 29% | 91 | 92 | |
15 | Wizards | 71% | 98 | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Clippers | 100 | |||
24 | Nets | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Bucks | 31% | 99 | 82 | |
9 | Raptors | 69% | 106 | 75 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Hawks | 100 | |||
14 | Pelicans | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Magic | 29% | 95 | 97 | |
5 | Thunder | 71% | 103 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Timberwolves | 94 | |||
7 | Mavericks | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Grizzlies | 43% | 100 | 102 | |
11 | Suns | 57% | 102 | 101 |
Sunday, February 1, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 83 | |||
25 | Celtics | 75 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Lakers | 51% | 103 | 80 | |
29 | Knicks | 49% | 102 | 92 |
Saturday, January 31, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 40% | 96 | 99 | |
17 | Pacers | 60% | 100 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Mavericks | 108 | |||
28 | Magic | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Raptors | 45% | 101 | 120 | |
15 | Wizards | 55% | 103 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 85 | |||
5 | Hawks | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Rockets | 57% | 104 | 101 | |
19 | Pistons | 43% | 102 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Thunder | 74 | |||
10 | Grizzlies | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | 70% | 110 | 106 | |
26 | Timberwolves | 30% | 103 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Trail Blazers | 88 | |||
20 | Bucks | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Hornets | 38% | 98 | 104 | |
18 | Nuggets | 62% | 102 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Clippers | 105 | |||
3 | Spurs | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Suns | 26% | 102 | 87 | |
1 | Warriors | 74% | 111 | 106 |
Friday, January 30, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Timberwolves | 94 | |||
30 | 76ers | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 99 | 99 | |
5 | Hawks | 65% | 104 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Rockets | 93 | |||
25 | Celtics | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Raptors | 65% | 105 | 127 | |
24 | Nets | 35% | 99 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 90 | |||
4 | Cavaliers | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Clippers | 62% | 107 | 103 | |
16 | Pelicans | 38% | 103 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Mavericks | 93 | |||
14 | Heat | 72 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 75% | 107 | 100 | |
22 | Jazz | 25% | 98 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Bulls | 93 | |||
9 | Suns | 99 |
Thursday, January 29, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Bucks | 115 | |||
28 | Magic | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Nuggets | 30% | 98 | 69 | |
9 | Grizzlies | 70% | 105 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Knicks | 82 | |||
17 | Pacers | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Bulls | 67% | 105 | 118 | |
27 | Lakers | 33% | 99 | 123 |
Wednesday, January 28, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 103 | 94 | |
4 | Cavaliers | 63% | 107 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pistons | 69 | |||
30 | 76ers | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Nets | 19% | 92 | 102 | |
6 | Hawks | 81% | 104 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 102 | |||
10 | Raptors | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Mavericks | 37% | 103 | 94 | |
7 | Rockets | 63% | 107 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Celtics | 98 | |||
26 | Timberwolves | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Nuggets | 42% | 103 | 93 | |
15 | Pelicans | 58% | 106 | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 92 | |||
29 | Knicks | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Hornets | 17% | 89 | 86 | |
2 | Spurs | 83% | 102 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Clippers | 94 | |||
22 | Jazz | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Wizards | 34% | 101 | 98 | |
11 | Suns | 66% | 106 | 106 |
Tuesday, January 27, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Raptors | 62% | 102 | 104 | |
17 | Pacers | 38% | 97 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | 103 | |||
18 | Pistons | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Bucks | 40% | 93 | 109 | |
14 | Heat | 60% | 97 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Grizzlies | 109 | |||
7 | Mavericks | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Bulls | 21% | 98 | 113 | |
1 | Warriors | 79% | 109 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Wizards | 98 | |||
27 | Lakers | 92 |
Monday, January 26, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Magic | 94 | |||
9 | Grizzlies | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 25% | 92 | 74 | |
16 | Pelicans | 75% | 102 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Timberwolves | 84 | |||
5 | Thunder | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Celtics | 38% | 98 | 99 | |
22 | Jazz | 62% | 103 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Nuggets | 98 | |||
3 | Clippers | 102 |
Sunday, January 25, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 38% | 95 | 96 | |
12 | Bulls | 62% | 99 | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 98 | |||
4 | Cavaliers | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Clippers | 48% | 108 | 120 | |
11 | Suns | 52% | 109 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Mavericks | 106 | |||
15 | Pelicans | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Timberwolves | 15% | 96 | 100 | |
6 | Hawks | 85% | 110 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pacers | 106 | |||
26 | Magic | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Bucks | 19% | 92 | 95 | |
2 | Spurs | 81% | 103 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pistons | 110 | |||
10 | Raptors | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Celtics | 14% | 97 | 111 | |
1 | Warriors | 86% | 112 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Wizards | 117 | |||
18 | Nuggets | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Rockets | 70% | 107 | 99 | |
27 | Lakers | 30% | 100 | 87 |
Saturday, January 24, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Knicks | 71 | |||
22 | Hornets | 76 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 47% | 101 | 86 | |
21 | Bucks | 53% | 102 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 83 | |||
9 | Grizzlies | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Nets | 43% | 96 | 73 | |
24 | Jazz | 57% | 99 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Wizards | 96 | |||
13 | Trail Blazers | 103 |
Friday, January 23, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Raptors | 78% | 105 | 91 | |
30 | 76ers | 22% | 94 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 93 | |||
7 | Hawks | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hornets | 27% | 97 | 90 | |
4 | Cavaliers | 73% | 105 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 87 | |||
15 | Heat | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Magic | 55% | 101 | 106 | |
29 | Knicks | 45% | 99 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Bulls | 102 | |||
6 | Mavericks | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pelicans | 62% | 107 | 92 | |
26 | Timberwolves | 38% | 103 | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Lakers | 85 | |||
2 | Spurs | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Celtics | 32% | 103 | 100 | |
19 | Nuggets | 68% | 109 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Rockets | 113 | |||
11 | Suns | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Kings | 21% | 99 | 101 | |
1 | Warriors | 79% | 110 | 126 |
Thursday, January 22, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Spurs | 62% | 102 | 81 | |
13 | Bulls | 38% | 98 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Jazz | 101 | |||
21 | Bucks | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Celtics | 31% | 100 | 90 | |
12 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 107 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Nets | 84 | |||
2 | Clippers | 123 |
Wednesday, January 21, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 45% | 94 | 76 | |
23 | Hornets | 55% | 95 | 78 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Jazz | 92 | |||
5 | Cavaliers | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Knicks | 51% | 97 | 98 | |
30 | 76ers | 49% | 96 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pacers | 91 | |||
7 | Hawks | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Magic | 34% | 99 | 118 | |
18 | Pistons | 66% | 104 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Raptors | 86 | |||
9 | Grizzlies | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Mavericks | 75% | 112 | 98 | |
26 | Timberwolves | 25% | 102 | 75 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Lakers | 80 | |||
15 | Pelicans | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Thunder | 48% | 99 | 105 | |
14 | Wizards | 52% | 100 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Trail Blazers | 113 | |||
11 | Suns | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Nets | 41% | 98 | 103 | |
20 | Kings | 59% | 102 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Rockets | 113 | |||
3 | Warriors | 126 |
Tuesday, January 20, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Thunder | 56% | 98 | 94 | |
16 | Heat | 44% | 96 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 109 | |||
19 | Nuggets | 99 |