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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 2, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Hawks56%102100
16Pelicans44%100115
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.0
32.4
33.1
15
45%
6
1
0
2
2
2
2
4
5-6
83%
5-11
4-9
45%
51%
0-3
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.7
30.1
32.2
8
44%
9
4
3
1
0
1
5
4
0-0
-
4-8
7-12
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.9
29.9
33.4
12
86%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
2-2
100%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.6
29.2
31.3
21
55%
2
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
7-15
5-9
47%
49%
1-2
50%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.6
26.9
26.0
9
44%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-3
33%
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
0-2
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.5
23.3
29.4
6
75%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
53%
2-4
50%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.5
22.6
14.2
8
47%
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
1-5
20%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.4
18.8
22.5
10
36%
2
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
47%
0-2
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
15.9
10.3
7
70%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
6.0
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.6
5.0
2.9
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.9
6.1
0
1-1
49%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 24.0
2.1
0
0-0
49%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.8
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 21.9
33.9
23.2
29
56%
13
3
1
1
2
2
8
5
5-7
71%
12-23
6-11
52%
53%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.6
32.8
26.2
9
52%
17
1
0
0
1
1
3
14
5-6
83%
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.4
31.9
34.7
15
54%
5
12
2
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
6-12
6-12
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.1
28.4
35.0
20
84%
3
7
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
46%
4-6
67%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.8
22.4
30.4
10
73%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.9
30.9
21.8
7
39%
5
1
1
0
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 26.7
28.2
29.1
15
64%
6
0
0
1
1
2
1
5
4-4
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.9
20.6
6.4
10
73%
2
3
1
0
2
3
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
2-5
40%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 35.1
7.7
4.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-1
0%
Nate Wolters
· 6'4" 190 · 23.7
1.1
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.6
1.1
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 24.9
1.1
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 26.7
14.9
0
3-5
54%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.