Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Nuggets	44%	104	100	102.0	98	99.5
	24	Celtics	56%	106	104	106.1	98	96.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	43.5	23	68%	2	8	2	0	4	0	1	1	4-4	100%	8-12	67%	1-3	33%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	36.4	18	47%	3	3	2	0	1	3	1	2	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	3-9	33%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	36.4	8	40%	8	4	1	1	2	2	2	6	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-5	0%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	32.0	17	85%	11	0	0	1	1	3	3	8	5-5	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	20.6	14	70%	7	2	1	3	2	2	3	4	6-6	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	25.2	7	29%	7	1	0	0	3	2	1	6	5-6	83%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	18.6	2	14%	6	0	2	1	1	5	2	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	10.4	6	100%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	6.9	3	30%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	5.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	4.5	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	51%	48	18	9	6	15	0	14	34	30-33	91%	29-56	52%	4-24	17%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	43.5	23	68%	2	8	2	0	4	0	1	1	4-4	100%	8-12	67%	1-3	33%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	36.4	18	47%	3	3	2	0	1	3	1	2	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	3-9	33%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	36.4	8	40%	8	4	1	1	2	2	2	6	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-5	0%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	32.0	17	85%	11	0	0	1	1	3	3	8	5-5	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	20.6	14	70%	7	2	1	3	2	2	3	4	6-6	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	25.2	7	29%	7	1	0	0	3	2	1	6	5-6	83%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	18.6	2	14%	6	0	2	1	1	5	2	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	10.4	6	100%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	6.9	3	30%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	5.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	4.5	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	51%	48	18	9	6	15	0	14	34	30-33	91%	29-56	52%	4-24	17%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

24 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 21	41.4	4	29%	10	8	3	0	2	4	3	7	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 24	31.9	17	53%	4	0	1	1	3	3	2	2	2-2	100%	6-13	46%	1-2	50%
Evan Turner F · 6'7" 220 · 26	29.8	7	32%	8	8	2	1	3	2	1	7	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 25	26.6	14	54%	5	0	0	0	2	0	1	4	2-3	67%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Brandon Bass F · 6'8" 250 · 30	22.7	9	35%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	1-1	100%	4-13	31%	0-0	-

Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 25	26.2	14	54%	6	3	2	1	2	3	2	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Jared Sullinger C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23	21.1	14	50%	7	4	0	0	0	3	5	2	2-4	50%	3-9	33%	2-3	67%
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28	20.3	17	85%	5	0	2	0	1	2	2	3	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	4-5	80%
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19	20.1	8	44%	2	3	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Phil Pressey G · 5'11" 175 · 24	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andre Dawkins G · 6'5" 219 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kelly Olynyk #41 · F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Shavlik Randolph #42 · F · 6'10" 236 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	48%	51	27	10	3	13	0	19	32	12-17	71%	28-71	39%	12-28	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	BOS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.02 51.0%

BOS

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

21

30

70%

BOS

13

32

41%

Midrange

DEN

8

26

31%

BOS

15

39

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

4

6.0

24

17%

25%

BOS

12

18.0

28

43%

64%

Free Throws

DEN

30

33

91%

BOS

12

17

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Lawson	23	68%	11.5 / 17
A. Afflalo	18	47%	9.0 / 19
K. Faried	17	85%	8.5 / 10
J. Nurkić	14	70%	7.0 / 10
W. Chandler	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Gallinari	7	29%	3.5 / 12
A. Gee	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Hickson	3	30%	1.5 / 5
D. Arthur	2	14%	1.0 / 7
E. Green	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Bradley	17	53%	8.5 / 16
M. Thornton	17	85%	8.5 / 10
T. Zeller	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Crowder	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Sullinger	14	50%	7.0 / 14
B. Bass	9	35%	4.5 / 13
J. Young	8	44%	4.0 / 9
E. Turner	7	32%	3.5 / 11
M. Smart	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 104.8 19 104.8	DEN 102.0 BOS 106.1 +4.1
Pace	4 95.9 5 95.8	DEN 99.5 +2.9 BOS 96.6
Avg. Poss. Time	28 14.4 29 14.4	DEN 14.5 −0.4 BOS 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 47.9% 22 48.9%	DEN 43.8% BOS 46.5% +2.7%
TO %	15 14.3% 7 13.7%	DEN 13.7% BOS 10.9% −2.8%
ORB %	10 26.5% 16 24.7%	DEN 30.4% BOS 35.8% +5.4%
FTrt	12 27.8 28 23.3	DEN 41.3 +24.1 BOS 17.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.7% 3 62.9%	DEN 54.5% BOS 67.5% +13.0%
STL %	17 8.0% 10 8.5%	DEN 9.2% BOS 10.2% +1.0%
BLK %	22 7.2% 30 5.7%	DEN 8.5% +3.1% BOS 5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 50.8% 22 51.1%	DEN 51.0% +2.9% BOS 48.1%
Rim FG%	22 56.1% 17 57.3%	DEN 70.0% +29.4% BOS 40.6%
Mid FG%	24 37.9% 7 40.9%	DEN 30.8% BOS 38.5% +7.7%
3P %	28 32.5% 27 32.7%	DEN 16.7% BOS 42.9% +26.2%
FT %	24 73.5% 14 75.4%	DEN 90.9% +20.3% BOS 70.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 38.2% 21 34.7%	DEN 37.5% +5.2% BOS 32.3%
Mid Att. %	6 33.4% 15 37.3%	DEN 32.5% −6.9% BOS 39.4%
3P Att. %	12 28.4% 13 28.0%	DEN 30.0% +1.7% BOS 28.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	BOS
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	100	104
Rebounds	48	51
Assists	18	27
Steals	9	10
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (1)	19 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (5)	32 (1)
Field Goals	33-80	40-99
At-the-Rim FG	21-30	13-32
Midrange FG	8-26	15-39
2-Point FG	29-56	28-71
3-Point FG	4-24	12-28
Free Throws	30-33	12-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg