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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 4, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Nuggets44%104100
25Celtics56%106104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.3
43
32
23
2
8
2
1
0
4
1
1
4-4
100%
8-12
4-9
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
36
30
18
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
3-9
33%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
36
26
8
8
4
1
1
1
2
2
6
4-4
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-5
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.2
32
25
17
11
0
0
1
1
1
3
8
5-5
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
53%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.5
21
18
14
7
2
1
1
3
2
3
4
6-6
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
25
22
7
7
1
0
1
0
3
1
6
5-6
83%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-5
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
19
15
2
6
0
2
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.7
10
14
6
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.4
7
21
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.4
6
13
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.7
5
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.0
19
1
2-4
44%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.4
9
0
1-1
42%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 20.9
41
30
4
10
8
3
1
0
2
3
7
0-2
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.2
32
32
17
4
0
1
1
1
3
2
2
2-2
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
48%
1-2
50%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
30
26
7
8
8
2
1
1
3
1
7
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
46%
1-4
25%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.0
27
19
14
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
6-12
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.8
23
30
9
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
4-13
5-11
31%
50%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.6
26
25
14
6
3
2
1
1
2
2
4
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
2-6
33%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 22.9
21
29
14
7
4
0
1
0
0
5
2
2-4
50%
3-9
5-10
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27.7
20
16
17
5
0
2
1
0
1
2
3
3-3
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
4-5
80%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.5
20
11
8
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
2-6
33%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 24.0
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.9
11
0
1-3
44%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.5
5
0
0-1
51%
Andre Dawkins
G · 6'5" 219 · 23.4
2
0
0-0
46%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.8
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.