Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, February 4, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Pistons | 42% | 97 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Celtics | 56% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Nets | 28% | 100 | 109 |
 | 10 | Raptors | 72% | 108 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Bulls | 38% | 101 | 90 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Lakers | 30% | 95 | 105 |
 | 17 | Bucks | 70% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Heat | 49% | 99 | 101 |
 | 25 | Timberwolves | 51% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Thunder | 43% | 99 | 102 |
 | 14 | Pelicans | 57% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Magic | 17% | 94 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Mavericks | 34% | 104 | 114 |
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Tuesday, February 3, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 67% | 102 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 46% | 96 | 91 |
| 19 | Pistons | 54% | 97 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 56% | 103 | 108 |
 | 29 | Knicks | 44% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 30% | 97 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 70% | 108 | 121 |
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Monday, February 2, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 12% | 92 | 84 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Hornets | 29% | 90 | 92 |
| 13 | Wizards | 71% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 23 | Nets | 29% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 31% | 99 | 82 |
| 5 | Raptors | 69% | 106 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 56% | 102 | 100 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 44% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 29% | 95 | 97 |
| 14 | Thunder | 71% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 20% | 101 | 94 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 80% | 112 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 43% | 100 | 102 |
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Sunday, February 1, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 49% | 97 | 83 |
| 24 | Celtics | 51% | 98 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 51% | 103 | 80 |
| 29 | Knicks | 49% | 102 | 92 |
Saturday, January 31, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 39% | 96 | 99 |
| 21 | Pacers | 61% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 63% | 105 | 108 |
| 27 | Magic | 37% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 45% | 101 | 120 |
| 14 | Wizards | 55% | 102 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 13% | 88 | 85 |
| 6 | Hawks | 87% | 104 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 58% | 105 | 101 |
| 20 | Pistons | 42% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 47% | 97 | 74 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 53% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 70% | 110 | 106 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 30% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 102 | 88 |
| 16 | Bucks | 49% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 38% | 98 | 104 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 62% | 103 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 38% | 101 | 105 |
| 2 | Spurs | 62% | 105 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 26% | 103 | 87 |
| 1 | Warriors | 74% | 111 | 106 |
Friday, January 30, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 55% | 100 | 94 |
| 30 | 76ers | 45% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 99 | 99 |
| 5 | Hawks | 65% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 66% | 107 | 93 |
| 23 | Celtics | 34% | 101 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 65% | 105 | 127 |
| 24 | Nets | 35% | 99 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 23% | 100 | 90 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 77% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 62% | 107 | 103 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 38% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 57% | 99 | 93 |
| 16 | Heat | 43% | 97 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 75% | 107 | 100 |
| 22 | Jazz | 25% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 33% | 102 | 93 |
| 7 | Suns | 67% | 108 | 99 |
Thursday, January 29, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 56% | 100 | 115 |
| 25 | Magic | 44% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 30% | 98 | 69 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 70% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 28% | 93 | 82 |
| 20 | Pacers | 72% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 67% | 105 | 118 |
| 27 | Lakers | 33% | 99 | 123 |
Wednesday, January 28, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 102 | 94 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 64% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 64% | 100 | 69 |
| 30 | 76ers | 36% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 19% | 92 | 102 |
| 5 | Hawks | 81% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 32% | 101 | 102 |
| 6 | Raptors | 68% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 37% | 103 | 94 |
| 8 | Rockets | 63% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 56% | 107 | 98 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 44% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 42% | 103 | 93 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 58% | 106 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Thunder | 70% | 103 | 92 |
| 29 | Knicks | 30% | 95 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 17% | 88 | 86 |
| 2 | Spurs | 83% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 69% | 106 | 94 |
| 22 | Jazz | 31% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 33% | 101 | 98 |
| 7 | Suns | 67% | 106 | 106 |
Tuesday, January 27, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 63% | 102 | 104 |
| 22 | Pacers | 37% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 63% | 108 | 103 |
| 19 | Pistons | 37% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 40% | 93 | 109 |
| 11 | Heat | 60% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 35% | 99 | 109 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 65% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 21% | 98 | 113 |
| 1 | Warriors | 79% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 63% | 102 | 98 |
| 27 | Lakers | 37% | 98 | 92 |
Monday, January 26, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 22% | 93 | 94 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 78% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 24% | 92 | 74 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 76% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 21% | 98 | 84 |
| 11 | Thunder | 79% | 109 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 38% | 99 | 99 |
| 21 | Jazz | 62% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 21% | 103 | 98 |
| 3 | Clippers | 79% | 114 | 102 |
Sunday, January 25, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 38% | 95 | 96 |
| 12 | Bulls | 62% | 99 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 42% | 104 | 98 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 58% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 47% | 107 | 120 |
| 9 | Suns | 53% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 58% | 105 | 106 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 42% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 15% | 96 | 100 |
| 6 | Hawks | 85% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 47% | 96 | 106 |
| 22 | Magic | 53% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 19% | 91 | 95 |
| 2 | Spurs | 81% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 27% | 101 | 110 |
| 10 | Raptors | 73% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Celtics | 14% | 97 | 111 |
| 1 | Warriors | 86% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 49% | 102 | 117 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 51% | 103 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 70% | 107 | 99 |
| 26 | Lakers | 30% | 100 | 87 |
Saturday, January 24, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 34% | 94 | 71 |
| 24 | Hornets | 66% | 99 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 48% | 101 | 86 |
| 19 | Bucks | 52% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 11% | 86 | 83 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 89% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 43% | 96 | 73 |
| 22 | Jazz | 57% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 45% | 98 | 96 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 100 | 103 |
Friday, January 23, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 79% | 105 | 91 |
| 30 | 76ers | 21% | 94 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 43% | 99 | 93 |
| 6 | Hawks | 57% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 27% | 97 | 90 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 73% | 105 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 38% | 91 | 87 |
| 15 | Heat | 62% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 55% | 101 | 106 |
| 29 | Knicks | 45% | 99 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 31% | 100 | 102 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 69% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 62% | 107 | 92 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 38% | 103 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 18% | 94 | 85 |
| 2 | Spurs | 82% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 31% | 103 | 100 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 69% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 45% | 105 | 113 |
| 9 | Suns | 55% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 20% | 99 | 101 |
| 1 | Warriors | 80% | 110 | 126 |
Thursday, January 22, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 61% | 102 | 81 |
| 14 | Bulls | 39% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 31% | 94 | 101 |
| 19 | Bucks | 69% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 31% | 100 | 90 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 107 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 15% | 97 | 84 |
| 3 | Clippers | 85% | 111 | 123 |