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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 9, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
95
15Pacers
93
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
33
23
8
12
1
3
1
1
2
0
12
3-4
75%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
1-8
13%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.6
31
35
10
6
1
1
2
1
0
2
4
1-1
100%
3-10
5-9
30%
54%
1-2
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.7
30
29
19
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
5-5
100%
7-16
5-10
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.8
30
29
15
8
2
1
1
5
1
3
5
1-1
100%
7-13
5-11
54%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.8
12
8
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.8
27
21
6
4
2
2
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
52%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.9
26
18
12
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
2-4
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.5
18
13
9
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.1
14
18
8
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
54%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.2
13
15
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
6
11
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 28.4
3
0
0-0
50%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.8
2
0
0-1
53%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.8
35
24
18
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
45%
2-3
67%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.4
33
29
10
18
7
0
1
1
4
4
14
4-4
100%
3-10
5-11
30%
49%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 28.2
33
32
10
8
2
0
0
2
0
4
4
0-0
-
5-13
5-12
38%
46%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.9
32
25
13
2
0
1
1
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
1-7
14%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.8
29
25
7
4
5
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 34.8
21
21
11
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
1-1
100%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.8
19
24
8
6
4
1
1
0
0
0
6
3-3
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.9
18
27
10
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 28.6
12
16
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-3
0%
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.9
9
7
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-8
1-2
38%
49%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 26.0
6
0
1-2
48%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.1
4
0
0-1
46%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 30.9
2
0
0-0
47%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.3
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.