Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, February 9, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Magic | 26% | 92 | 80 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Knicks | 31% | 93 | 95 |
 | 17 | Heat | 69% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Nets | 37% | 97 | 97 |
 | 16 | Bucks | 63% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Timberwolves | 35% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Pelicans | 62% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Mavericks | 64% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Thunder | 57% | 105 | 124 |
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Sunday, February 8, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 43% | 103 | 108 |
| 4 | Thunder | 57% | 105 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Lakers | 16% | 98 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 43% | 97 | 88 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 56% | 96 | 103 |
 | 25 | Hornets | 44% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 38% | 103 | 112 |
 | 21 | Pistons | 62% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bulls | 59% | 103 | 98 |
| 26 | Magic | 41% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 49% | 103 | 82 |
 | 9 | Raptors | 51% | 104 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, February 7, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 49% | 103 | 107 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 51% | 104 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 32% | 94 | 77 |
| 15 | Wizards | 68% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 86% | 109 | 106 |
| 30 | Knicks | 14% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 65% | 95 | 81 |
| 29 | 76ers | 35% | 90 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 104 | 101 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 59% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Celtics | 36% | 99 | 93 |
| 16 | Bucks | 64% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 43% | 98 | 90 |
| 20 | Jazz | 57% | 101 | 102 |
Friday, February 6, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 31% | 97 | 88 |
| 20 | Nets | 69% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 59% | 103 | 99 |
| 19 | Pacers | 41% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 45% | 102 | 97 |
| 27 | Magic | 55% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 58% | 105 | 116 |
| 11 | Hawks | 42% | 103 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 31% | 95 | 96 |
| 23 | Celtics | 69% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 46% | 105 | 88 |
| 22 | Pistons | 54% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 41% | 105 | 107 |
| 10 | Raptors | 59% | 108 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 32% | 97 | 111 |
| 8 | Rockets | 68% | 103 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 68% | 104 | 89 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 32% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 34% | 99 | 116 |
| 5 | Thunder | 66% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 33% | 100 | 93 |
| 9 | Suns | 67% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 24% | 90 | 85 |
| 2 | Spurs | 76% | 100 | 98 |
Thursday, February 5, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 54% | 95 | 87 |
| 26 | Hornets | 46% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 45% | 107 | 94 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 55% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 54% | 106 | 101 |
| 18 | Kings | 46% | 105 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 40% | 104 | 87 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 108 | 108 |
Wednesday, February 4, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 41% | 97 | 109 |
| 22 | Pacers | 59% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 39% | 96 | 96 |
| 11 | Hawks | 61% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 44% | 104 | 100 |
| 24 | Celtics | 56% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 28% | 100 | 109 |
| 10 | Raptors | 72% | 108 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 38% | 101 | 90 |
| 6 | Rockets | 62% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 30% | 95 | 105 |
| 17 | Bucks | 70% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 48% | 98 | 101 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 52% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Thunder | 43% | 100 | 102 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 57% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 17% | 94 | 103 |
| 4 | Spurs | 83% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 62% | 99 | 100 |
| 19 | Jazz | 38% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 34% | 104 | 114 |
| 1 | Warriors | 66% | 109 | 128 |
Tuesday, February 3, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 67% | 102 | 98 |
| 30 | 76ers | 33% | 95 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 46% | 96 | 91 |
| 19 | Pistons | 54% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 56% | 103 | 108 |
| 29 | Knicks | 44% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 30% | 97 | 102 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 70% | 108 | 121 |
| 18 | Kings | 30% | 100 | 96 |
Monday, February 2, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 12% | 92 | 84 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 88% | 108 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 29% | 91 | 92 |
| 13 | Wizards | 71% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 71% | 108 | 100 |
| 23 | Nets | 29% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 31% | 99 | 82 |
| 5 | Raptors | 69% | 106 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 56% | 102 | 100 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 44% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 29% | 95 | 97 |
| 14 | Thunder | 71% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 20% | 101 | 94 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 80% | 112 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 43% | 100 | 102 |
| 8 | Suns | 57% | 102 | 101 |
Sunday, February 1, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 49% | 97 | 83 |
| 24 | Celtics | 51% | 98 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 51% | 103 | 80 |
| 29 | Knicks | 49% | 102 | 92 |
Saturday, January 31, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 40% | 96 | 99 |
| 21 | Pacers | 60% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 63% | 105 | 108 |
| 27 | Magic | 37% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 45% | 101 | 120 |
| 14 | Wizards | 55% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 13% | 88 | 85 |
| 6 | Hawks | 87% | 104 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 57% | 104 | 101 |
| 20 | Pistons | 43% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 48% | 97 | 74 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 52% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 70% | 110 | 106 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 30% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 102 | 88 |
| 16 | Bucks | 49% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 38% | 98 | 104 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 62% | 102 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 37% | 101 | 105 |
| 2 | Spurs | 63% | 105 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 26% | 102 | 87 |
| 1 | Warriors | 74% | 111 | 106 |
Friday, January 30, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 54% | 100 | 94 |
| 30 | 76ers | 46% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 99 | 99 |
| 5 | Hawks | 65% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 66% | 106 | 93 |
| 23 | Celtics | 34% | 101 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 65% | 105 | 127 |
| 24 | Nets | 35% | 99 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 23% | 100 | 90 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 77% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 62% | 107 | 103 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 38% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 57% | 99 | 93 |
| 16 | Heat | 43% | 97 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 75% | 107 | 100 |
| 22 | Jazz | 25% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 34% | 103 | 93 |
| 7 | Suns | 66% | 108 | 99 |
Thursday, January 29, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 56% | 100 | 115 |
| 25 | Magic | 44% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 30% | 98 | 69 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 70% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 28% | 93 | 82 |
| 20 | Pacers | 72% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 67% | 105 | 118 |
| 27 | Lakers | 33% | 99 | 123 |
Wednesday, January 28, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 103 | 94 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 63% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 63% | 99 | 69 |
| 30 | 76ers | 37% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 19% | 92 | 102 |
| 5 | Hawks | 81% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 32% | 101 | 102 |
| 6 | Raptors | 68% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 37% | 103 | 94 |
| 8 | Rockets | 63% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 56% | 107 | 98 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 44% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 42% | 103 | 93 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 58% | 106 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Thunder | 70% | 103 | 92 |
| 29 | Knicks | 30% | 95 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 17% | 89 | 86 |
| 2 | Spurs | 83% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 69% | 106 | 94 |
| 22 | Jazz | 31% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 34% | 101 | 98 |
| 7 | Suns | 66% | 106 | 106 |
Tuesday, January 27, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 62% | 102 | 104 |
| 22 | Pacers | 38% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 63% | 108 | 103 |
| 19 | Pistons | 37% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 40% | 93 | 109 |
| 11 | Heat | 60% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 35% | 99 | 109 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 65% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 21% | 98 | 113 |
| 1 | Warriors | 79% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 63% | 102 | 98 |
| 27 | Lakers | 37% | 98 | 92 |