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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 9, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors86%10789
3076ers14%9284
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
32
33
20
5
6
3
2
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
4-8
5-9
50%
53%
3-12
25%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.2
30
20
4
9
3
1
1
2
0
2
7
0-2
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
56%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
29
34
13
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
50%
1-6
17%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.9
27
33
4
3
2
1
2
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
22
27
9
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.0
30
26
13
5
2
4
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
54%
1-5
20%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.2
20
13
16
6
2
0
0
1
2
2
4
5-7
71%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
1-1
100%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.8
19
18
0
3
5
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.4
16
15
0
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
15
15
10
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
50%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.3
7
0
1-1
51%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 25.8
3
0
0-1
49%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.6
3
0
0-0
50%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.1
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.3
36
29
10
6
7
0
1
0
7
3
3
1-2
50%
3-9
2-6
33%
36%
1-2
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
35
31
13
9
1
2
1
1
5
1
8
1-2
50%
3-9
4-8
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.8
32
29
11
7
4
1
1
1
1
3
4
1-2
50%
5-8
3-8
63%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.2
32
31
21
8
1
3
1
0
3
0
8
3-3
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
41%
4-10
40%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.9
27
17
10
6
2
1
0
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
5-5
2-3
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.9
28
30
0
6
2
0
1
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
46%
0-4
0%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
22
18
6
3
3
0
1
1
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
0-1
0%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.0
17
20
5
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1-1
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.9
12
15
8
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.3
15
1
2-5
42%
Furkan Aldemir
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.5
3
0
0-0
44%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.3
3
0
0-0
46%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 34.1
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.8
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.