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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 9, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Knicks31%9395
17Heat69%100109
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
32
33
26
4
4
2
1
1
0
0
4
4-5
80%
5-13
7-15
38%
47%
4-7
57%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 28.9
30
28
9
3
3
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.4
27
27
6
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.2
25
33
10
9
1
0
1
1
0
2
7
1-1
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
43%
1-3
33%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.2
23
20
6
4
2
3
1
1
2
2
2
0-1
0%
3-9
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.4
26
20
3
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-5
2-3
20%
45%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.2
20
17
14
7
0
0
0
2
0
3
4
6-6
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
54%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
20
23
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
1-6
17%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
18
28
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
44%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.3
14
6
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.3
3
12
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 26.3
3
7
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.7
3
0
0-0
50%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 23.8
Travis Wear
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.9
37
34
32
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
8-17
7-13
47%
54%
4-6
67%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
35
28
18
5
6
3
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
3-9
2-5
33%
50%
3-5
60%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.8
33
32
12
7
2
0
1
0
3
3
4
6-6
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
0-2
0%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.6
22
21
5
2
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.7
19
19
7
9
0
0
1
2
1
2
7
1-2
50%
3-4
4-7
75%
59%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.3
29
23
12
2
8
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
2-3
67%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.6
27
18
10
4
2
0
0
3
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
63%
1-1
100%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.8
22
13
9
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 22.8
11
20
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.7
3
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
50%
0-0
-
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.9
2
12
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
16
1
1-2
51%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.9
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.