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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 10, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Raptors34%100107
3Spurs66%106117
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 29.0
43
33
32
4
5
2
1
0
1
1
3
7-7
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
45%
5-9
56%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
39
36
21
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-7
71%
8-17
7-16
47%
44%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 27.9
33
23
16
14
3
0
1
1
1
6
8
0-2
0%
8-14
3-5
57%
57%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 24.1
25
26
5
2
0
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-6
17%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
21
27
9
6
0
0
0
1
2
3
3
1-2
50%
4-6
4-8
67%
54%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.0
29
27
4
10
3
1
1
2
0
5
5
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
51%
0-4
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.4
23
22
11
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 28.1
15
22
3
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 29.3
7
6
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.0
5
18
6
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31.7
3
0
0-1
45%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.7
3
0
0-0
47%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.5
1
0
0-0
53%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 22.6
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 19.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.7
39
34
24
11
1
5
2
1
1
4
7
4-4
100%
10-19
6-11
53%
55%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.8
37
29
23
2
9
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-6
67%
8-17
6-11
47%
50%
1-3
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.9
36
25
12
13
2
0
1
1
1
3
10
2-4
50%
5-12
5-9
42%
50%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.2
27
22
6
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
4-4
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
55%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
26
25
19
6
2
0
1
1
1
1
5
4-5
80%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
5-6
83%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.0
21
19
10
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
2-2
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.9
17
15
0
2
4
0
0
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.6
11
14
5
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
11
6
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-2
1-1
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.9
10
7
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.2
6
16
7
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 28.5
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.9
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.6
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.