Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, March 10, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Magic | 34% | 94 | 86 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Pelicans | 45% | 101 | 111 |
 | 23 | Nets | 55% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Mavericks | 44% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Raptors | 34% | 100 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Knicks | 15% | 86 | 82 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pistons | 53% | 104 | 85 |
 | 27 | Lakers | 47% | 103 | 93 |
Monday, March 9, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Hornets | 52% | 97 | 69 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Celtics | 43% | 99 | 100 |
 | 22 | Heat | 57% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Bulls | 42% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 45% | 98 | 114 |
 | 19 | Bucks | 55% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 27% | 98 | 78 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Timberwolves | 29% | 100 | 76 |
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Sunday, March 8, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 27% | 95 | 105 |
| 3 | Spurs | 73% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 30% | 101 | 98 |
| 1 | Warriors | 70% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jazz | 52% | 98 | 95 |
| 24 | Nets | 48% | 97 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 49% | 98 | 108 |
| 22 | Pistons | 51% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 58% | 104 | 98 |
| 28 | Magic | 42% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 45% | 104 | 104 |
 | 8 | Thunder | 55% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 63% | 106 | 100 |
| 27 | Lakers | 37% | 102 | 93 |
Saturday, March 7, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 55% | 99 | 89 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 45% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 22% | 102 | 79 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 78% | 112 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 37% | 96 | 109 |
| 21 | Heat | 63% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 67% | 99 | 92 |
| 30 | Knicks | 33% | 93 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 71% | 101 | 84 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 24 | Timberwolves | 37% | 100 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 43% | 95 | 85 |
| 20 | Bucks | 57% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 25 | Nuggets | 37% | 103 | 100 |
Friday, March 6, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 55% | 101 | 94 |
| 18 | Hornets | 45% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 44% | 96 | 84 |
| 17 | Pacers | 56% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 48% | 100 | 114 |
| 28 | Magic | 52% | 101 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 66% | 96 | 89 |
| 29 | 76ers | 34% | 91 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 53% | 104 | 97 |
| 7 | Hawks | 47% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 52% | 105 | 108 |
| 23 | Nets | 48% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 28% | 99 | 93 |
| 5 | Rockets | 72% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 23% | 94 | 90 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 77% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 44% | 103 | 104 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 56% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 42% | 95 | 97 |
| 14 | Wizards | 58% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 21% | 97 | 111 |
| 3 | Spurs | 79% | 108 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 19% | 97 | 89 |
| 1 | Warriors | 81% | 110 | 104 |
Thursday, March 5, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 39% | 100 | 105 |
| 11 | Bulls | 61% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 40% | 102 | 75 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 106 | 94 |
Wednesday, March 4, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 16% | 90 | 82 |
| 14 | Pacers | 84% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 60% | 104 | 105 |
| 28 | Magic | 40% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 46% | 99 | 84 |
| 18 | Celtics | 54% | 100 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 39% | 97 | 115 |
| 19 | Nets | 61% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 48% | 104 | 120 |
| 9 | Raptors | 52% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 39% | 96 | 102 |
| 5 | Rockets | 61% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 39% | 103 | 100 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 61% | 106 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 44% | 101 | 85 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 56% | 103 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 20% | 93 | 118 |
| 11 | Thunder | 80% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 28% | 96 | 94 |
| 16 | Heat | 72% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 16% | 93 | 85 |
| 2 | Spurs | 84% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 15% | 94 | 93 |
| 1 | Warriors | 85% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 104 | 98 |
| 4 | Clippers | 62% | 108 | 93 |
Tuesday, March 3, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 57% | 100 | 124 |
| 30 | Knicks | 43% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 35% | 97 | 103 |
| 20 | Hornets | 65% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 27% | 102 | 79 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 73% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 49% | 102 | 96 |
| 9 | Hawks | 51% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 39% | 96 | 92 |
| 11 | Bulls | 61% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 31% | 90 | 93 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 69% | 97 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 55% | 101 | 95 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 45% | 100 | 106 |
Monday, March 2, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 72% | 102 | 114 |
| 29 | 76ers | 28% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 67% | 107 | 108 |
| 19 | Nets | 33% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 44% | 99 | 98 |
| 14 | Heat | 56% | 102 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 62% | 108 | 110 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 38% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 29% | 99 | 93 |
| 12 | Mavericks | 71% | 107 | 102 |
Sunday, March 1, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 49% | 103 | 96 |
| 7 | Bulls | 51% | 104 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 65% | 107 | 108 |
| 26 | Lakers | 35% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 71% | 107 | 110 |
| 28 | Kings | 29% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 67% | 109 | 106 |
| 16 | Celtics | 33% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 27% | 91 | 74 |
| 15 | Pacers | 73% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 54% | 98 | 98 |
| 27 | Magic | 46% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 43% | 104 | 103 |
| 5 | Rockets | 57% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 48% | 103 | 99 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 52% | 104 | 92 |
Saturday, February 28, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 41% | 98 | 95 |
| 19 | Wizards | 59% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hawks | 55% | 99 | 93 |
| 15 | Heat | 45% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 72% | 104 | 98 |
| 30 | Knicks | 28% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 62% | 101 | 101 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 38% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 30% | 98 | 104 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 70% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 52% | 104 | 101 |
| 12 | Suns | 48% | 103 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 42% | 93 | 75 |
| 14 | Jazz | 58% | 96 | 82 |
Friday, February 27, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 61% | 103 | 86 |
| 16 | Pacers | 39% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 64% | 98 | 81 |
| 29 | 76ers | 36% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 23% | 95 | 88 |
| 8 | Hawks | 77% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 42% | 98 | 98 |
| 17 | Celtics | 58% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 23% | 95 | 121 |
| 19 | Pistons | 77% | 105 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 51% | 106 | 113 |
| 7 | Raptors | 49% | 105 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 29% | 96 | 89 |
| 10 | Bulls | 71% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 26% | 98 | 98 |
| 6 | Rockets | 74% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 44% | 100 | 97 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 56% | 102 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 49% | 98 | 102 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 51% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 53% | 99 | 104 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 47% | 98 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 75% | 105 | 107 |
| 28 | Kings | 25% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 59% | 102 | 93 |
| 27 | Lakers | 41% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 32% | 101 | 112 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 107 | 115 |
Thursday, February 26, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 46% | 106 | 99 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 54% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 52% | 106 | 113 |
| 13 | Suns | 48% | 105 | 117 |
Wednesday, February 25, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 57% | 98 | 93 |
| 28 | Magic | 43% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 37% | 101 | 87 |
| 8 | Hawks | 63% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 23% | 96 | 94 |
| 18 | Celtics | 77% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 29% | 92 | 98 |
| 9 | Bulls | 71% | 100 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 43% | 104 | 105 |
| 6 | Rockets | 57% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 27% | 91 | 88 |
| 19 | Bucks | 73% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 45% | 100 | 77 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 55% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 44% | 100 | 96 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 56% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 54% | 105 | 110 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 46% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 33% | 96 | 100 |
| 15 | Jazz | 67% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 70% | 101 | 90 |
| 27 | Kings | 30% | 94 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 51% | 103 | 95 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 102 | 111 |