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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 10, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pistons53%10485
27Lakers47%10393
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.8
39
33
24
10
2
2
1
2
1
5
5
4-8
50%
10-14
7-13
71%
51%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.1
36
29
15
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
4-10
40%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.6
32
28
14
21
0
1
1
2
1
6
15
0-0
-
7-12
6-11
58%
56%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 35.0
22
26
5
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.9
22
31
2
2
3
0
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
5-11
20%
49%
0-4
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.6
28
22
12
2
3
2
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
3-6
50%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
22
18
5
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
1-6
17%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 21.9
19
10
4
2
6
1
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 35.0
10
16
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 32.3
7
9
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
4
12
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
4
0
0-0
43%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.3
2
0
0-0
42%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.3
40
34
11
5
3
2
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.7
33
25
13
3
1
2
1
0
2
0
3
8-8
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 27.6
30
25
16
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
7-15
5-11
47%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 22.8
28
32
10
4
8
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
22
14
10
8
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
5-9
1-3
56%
52%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
28
26
12
7
5
1
1
1
2
0
7
9-12
75%
0-3
3-7
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 33.3
27
23
4
10
1
0
1
0
2
0
10
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
50%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
18
21
13
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
6-8
3-6
75%
57%
0-0
-
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 23.9
15
21
4
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.8
12
0
1-3
45%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 36.5
8
0
1-3
48%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.8
6
0
1-2
44%
Jabari Brown
G · 6'5" 214 · 22.2
3
0
0-1
46%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 41.1
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 20.3
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.