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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 29, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pistons47%98102
21Heat53%99109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.1
40.6
35.4
9
28%
4
1
2
1
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
0-6
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.6
39.0
28.9
32
80%
14
2
1
1
2
0
5
9
4-7
57%
14-17
6-12
82%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.9
36.0
30.0
31
76%
6
9
0
1
0
4
3
3
4-8
50%
9-13
5-11
69%
48%
3-4
75%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
27.9
26.6
7
58%
2
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
1-4
25%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 35.0
16.8
19.0
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.6
27.7
22.1
11
69%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
3-5
60%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 35.1
23.7
26.2
6
36%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
44%
1-3
33%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.0
12.0
16.3
2
17%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
9.0
17.0
2
33%
4
0
0
0
3
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
7.3
7.5
2
26%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
3.3
0
0-0
42%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 32.4
2.8
0
0-1
40%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.4
2.4
0
0-0
41%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.8
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.2
35.7
26.8
40
61%
6
4
1
1
0
1
3
3
12-13
92%
14-26
7-13
54%
52%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.8
35.1
24.4
18
65%
13
2
1
1
0
2
7
6
2-2
100%
8-12
3-5
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
34.9
31.3
10
46%
2
5
0
1
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
3-7
5-9
43%
54%
1-3
33%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.5
34.3
28.5
6
60%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.9
18.0
31.5
4
34%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
4-7
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.9
30.1
29.8
11
63%
9
4
0
1
0
1
1
8
3-4
75%
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
2-6
33%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.7
24.4
12.6
16
83%
6
1
0
0
0
1
3
3
4-6
67%
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
2-2
100%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 22.9
20.0
15.3
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
7.5
21.1
4
33%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.7
10.9
0
1-2
61%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.7
5.6
0
0-1
43%
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.8
2.1
0
0-0
45%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.1
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.0
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.