Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, March 29, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Lakers | 39% | 101 | 99 |
 | 23 | Nets | 61% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Timberwolves | 23% | 97 | 88 |
 | 10 | Pelicans | 77% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Celtics | 42% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Pistons | 47% | 98 | 102 |
 | 21 | Heat | 53% | 99 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Mavericks | 49% | 101 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Thunder | 40% | 104 | 109 |
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Saturday, March 28, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Hornets | 44% | 99 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Knicks | 10% | 88 | 80 |
 | 6 | Bulls | 90% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Bucks | 37% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Thunder | 48% | 99 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, March 27, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 56% | 102 | 111 |
 | 27 | Magic | 44% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 74% | 105 | 119 |
| 28 | 76ers | 26% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 44% | 96 | 107 |
| 19 | Wizards | 56% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 30% | 95 | 86 |
| 7 | Hawks | 70% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 72% | 109 | 98 |
| 24 | Nets | 28% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 77% | 104 | 96 |
| 30 | Knicks | 23% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 31% | 102 | 83 |
 | 10 | Raptors | 69% | 109 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 16% | 95 | 110 |
| 5 | Rockets | 84% | 108 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 58% | 101 | 107 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 42% | 98 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 11 | Pelicans | 67% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 31% | 99 | 76 |
| 3 | Spurs | 69% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jazz | 51% | 100 | 91 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 49% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 103 | 87 |
| 17 | Suns | 51% | 104 | 81 |
Thursday, March 26, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 43% | 96 | 107 |
| 18 | Bucks | 57% | 98 | 111 |
Wednesday, March 25, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 41% | 99 | 91 |
| 21 | Hornets | 59% | 102 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 86% | 108 | 111 |
| 30 | Knicks | 14% | 93 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 69% | 104 | 95 |
| 27 | Magic | 31% | 97 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 47% | 97 | 103 |
| 17 | Wizards | 53% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 33% | 97 | 93 |
| 12 | Celtics | 67% | 103 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 52% | 104 | 116 |
| 11 | Raptors | 48% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 55% | 101 | 111 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 45% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 46% | 103 | 101 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 54% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 58% | 103 | 95 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 42% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 27% | 97 | 99 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 73% | 105 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 94 | 92 |
| 14 | Jazz | 60% | 98 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 23% | 99 | 91 |
| 2 | Spurs | 77% | 109 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 29% | 101 | 108 |
| 15 | Suns | 71% | 109 | 99 |
Tuesday, March 24, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 55% | 105 | 104 |
| 23 | Pistons | 45% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 47% | 95 | 88 |
| 22 | Bucks | 53% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 26% | 102 | 117 |
| 11 | Thunder | 74% | 110 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 55% | 104 | 94 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 45% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 42% | 99 | 106 |
| 25 | Kings | 58% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 55% | 106 | 122 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 104 | 108 |
Monday, March 23, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 53% | 101 | 110 |
| 13 | Pacers | 47% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 43% | 101 | 110 |
| 24 | Nets | 57% | 104 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 84% | 101 | 103 |
| 30 | Knicks | 16% | 88 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 34% | 96 | 86 |
| 12 | Bulls | 66% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 21% | 91 | 106 |
| 15 | Jazz | 79% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 20% | 96 | 76 |
| 3 | Warriors | 80% | 108 | 107 |
Sunday, March 22, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 69% | 105 | 108 |
| 20 | Bucks | 31% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 37% | 100 | 75 |
| 9 | Thunder | 63% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 54% | 102 | 114 |
| 8 | Hawks | 46% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 22% | 99 | 100 |
| 4 | Clippers | 78% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 20% | 95 | 89 |
| 13 | Raptors | 80% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 63% | 104 | 86 |
| 26 | Kings | 37% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 35% | 99 | 105 |
| 18 | Celtics | 65% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 53% | 104 | 119 |
| 25 | Magic | 47% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 62% | 102 | 109 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 38% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 59% | 106 | 92 |
| 17 | Suns | 41% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 44% | 99 | 87 |
| 27 | Lakers | 56% | 101 | 101 |
Saturday, March 21, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 33% | 97 | 123 |
| 16 | Pacers | 67% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 49% | 100 | 91 |
| 22 | Pistons | 51% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 28% | 101 | 117 |
| 5 | Rockets | 72% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 97 | 86 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 62% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jazz | 33% | 94 | 91 |
| 4 | Warriors | 67% | 100 | 106 |
Friday, March 20, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 66% | 105 | 104 |
| 25 | Magic | 34% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 33% | 93 | 81 |
| 27 | 76ers | 67% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 49% | 99 | 127 |
| 24 | Nets | 51% | 100 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 25% | 98 | 92 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 75% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 33% | 98 | 91 |
| 13 | Heat | 67% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 51% | 103 | 92 |
| 15 | Bulls | 49% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 44% | 102 | 115 |
| 12 | Thunder | 56% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 44% | 99 | 112 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 56% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 24% | 97 | 89 |
| 2 | Spurs | 76% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 61% | 103 | 91 |
| 29 | Kings | 39% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 20% | 96 | 96 |
| 4 | Warriors | 80% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 30% | 99 | 99 |
| 3 | Clippers | 70% | 107 | 113 |
Thursday, March 19, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 47% | 99 | 95 |
| 30 | Knicks | 53% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nuggets | 24% | 100 | 108 |
| 5 | Rockets | 76% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 47% | 102 | 72 |
| 18 | Suns | 53% | 103 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 58% | 100 | 80 |
| 26 | Lakers | 42% | 97 | 73 |
Wednesday, March 18, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 18% | 98 | 92 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 82% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 53% | 99 | 83 |
| 28 | 76ers | 47% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 100 | 104 |
| 14 | Heat | 47% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 21% | 99 | 100 |
| 7 | Raptors | 79% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 47% | 97 | 86 |
| 17 | Bulls | 53% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 65% | 100 | 114 |
| 21 | Bucks | 35% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 37% | 102 | 118 |
| 12 | Thunder | 63% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 21% | 98 | 102 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 79% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 68% | 109 | 116 |
| 25 | Kings | 32% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 30% | 96 | 95 |
| 4 | Warriors | 70% | 104 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 46% | 94 | 88 |
| 11 | Jazz | 54% | 95 | 84 |
Tuesday, March 17, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 53% | 97 | 95 |
| 22 | Pistons | 47% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 85% | 105 | 100 |
| 30 | Knicks | 15% | 91 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 21% | 97 | 94 |
| 5 | Rockets | 79% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 39% | 97 | 84 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 61% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 19% | 96 | 92 |
| 2 | Clippers | 81% | 108 | 99 |
Monday, March 16, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 44% | 100 | 117 |
| 12 | Pacers | 56% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 100 | 97 |
| 14 | Wizards | 54% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 32% | 96 | 89 |
| 20 | Celtics | 68% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 30% | 95 | 81 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 70% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 58% | 104 | 122 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 42% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 59% | 102 | 92 |
| 16 | Heat | 41% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 36% | 104 | 115 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 64% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 39% | 93 | 66 |
| 9 | Jazz | 61% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 55% | 103 | 110 |
| 25 | Kings | 45% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 12% | 97 | 105 |
| 4 | Warriors | 88% | 113 | 108 |