Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, March 23, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Celtics | 43% | 101 | 110 |
 | 24 | Nets | 57% | 104 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Knicks | 17% | 88 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Hornets | 34% | 96 | 86 |
 | 12 | Bulls | 66% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Timberwolves | 22% | 91 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, March 22, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Bucks | 31% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Heat | 36% | 100 | 75 |
 | 9 | Thunder | 64% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pelicans | 22% | 98 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 20% | 95 | 89 |
 | 13 | Raptors | 80% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 63% | 104 | 86 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Pistons | 35% | 99 | 105 |
| 18 | Celtics | 65% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Magic | 47% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 61% | 102 | 109 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 39% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Mavericks | 59% | 106 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Lakers | 55% | 101 | 101 |
Saturday, March 21, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 33% | 97 | 123 |
| 16 | Pacers | 67% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 49% | 100 | 91 |
| 22 | Pistons | 51% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 28% | 101 | 117 |
| 5 | Rockets | 72% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | Grizzlies | 63% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jazz | 34% | 94 | 91 |
| 4 | Warriors | 66% | 100 | 106 |
Friday, March 20, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 66% | 105 | 104 |
| 25 | Magic | 34% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 33% | 93 | 81 |
| 27 | 76ers | 67% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 49% | 99 | 127 |
| 24 | Nets | 51% | 100 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 25% | 97 | 92 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 75% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 33% | 98 | 91 |
| 13 | Heat | 67% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 51% | 103 | 92 |
| 15 | Bulls | 49% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 44% | 103 | 115 |
| 12 | Thunder | 56% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 44% | 99 | 112 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 56% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 24% | 97 | 89 |
| 2 | Spurs | 76% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 60% | 103 | 91 |
| 29 | Kings | 40% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 21% | 96 | 96 |
| 4 | Warriors | 79% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 29% | 99 | 99 |
| 3 | Clippers | 71% | 107 | 113 |
Thursday, March 19, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 47% | 99 | 95 |
| 30 | Knicks | 53% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nuggets | 24% | 100 | 108 |
| 5 | Rockets | 76% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 47% | 102 | 72 |
| 18 | Suns | 53% | 103 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 58% | 100 | 80 |
| 26 | Lakers | 42% | 97 | 73 |
Wednesday, March 18, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 18% | 98 | 92 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 82% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 52% | 99 | 83 |
| 28 | 76ers | 48% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 101 | 104 |
| 14 | Heat | 47% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 21% | 100 | 100 |
| 7 | Raptors | 79% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 47% | 97 | 86 |
| 17 | Bulls | 53% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 64% | 100 | 114 |
| 21 | Bucks | 36% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 37% | 102 | 118 |
| 12 | Thunder | 63% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 21% | 98 | 102 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 79% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 68% | 109 | 116 |
| 25 | Kings | 32% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 30% | 96 | 95 |
| 4 | Warriors | 70% | 104 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 46% | 94 | 88 |
| 11 | Jazz | 54% | 95 | 84 |
Tuesday, March 17, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 53% | 97 | 95 |
| 22 | Pistons | 47% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 85% | 105 | 100 |
| 30 | Knicks | 15% | 91 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 21% | 97 | 94 |
| 5 | Rockets | 79% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 39% | 97 | 84 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 61% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 19% | 96 | 92 |
| 2 | Clippers | 81% | 108 | 99 |
Monday, March 16, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 44% | 100 | 117 |
| 12 | Pacers | 56% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 100 | 97 |
| 14 | Wizards | 54% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 32% | 96 | 89 |
| 20 | Celtics | 68% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 29% | 95 | 81 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 71% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 58% | 104 | 122 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 42% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 59% | 102 | 92 |
| 16 | Heat | 41% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 36% | 104 | 115 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 64% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 39% | 93 | 66 |
| 9 | Jazz | 61% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 55% | 103 | 110 |
| 25 | Kings | 45% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 12% | 97 | 105 |
| 4 | Warriors | 88% | 113 | 108 |
Sunday, March 15, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 39% | 101 | 100 |
| 12 | Thunder | 61% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 41% | 104 | 100 |
| 4 | Clippers | 59% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nuggets | 36% | 102 | 118 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 64% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 76% | 108 | 123 |
| 26 | Magic | 24% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Timberwolves | 14% | 94 | 97 |
| 1 | Spurs | 86% | 109 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 103 | 113 |
| 7 | Raptors | 60% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 16% | 93 | 89 |
| 17 | Suns | 84% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hawks | 68% | 106 | 91 |
| 28 | Lakers | 32% | 99 | 86 |
Saturday, March 14, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Celtics | 33% | 96 | 93 |
| 12 | Pacers | 67% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 29% | 98 | 97 |
| 14 | Wizards | 71% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 58% | 100 | 94 |
| 29 | 76ers | 42% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 41% | 92 | 83 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 59% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 31% | 94 | 85 |
| 10 | Jazz | 69% | 100 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 12% | 91 | 94 |
| 3 | Warriors | 88% | 108 | 125 |
Friday, March 13, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 47% | 98 | 91 |
| 19 | Hornets | 53% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 53% | 101 | 107 |
| 29 | 76ers | 47% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 36% | 99 | 88 |
| 20 | Celtics | 64% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 31% | 98 | 92 |
| 6 | Raptors | 69% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 26% | 101 | 99 |
| 11 | Thunder | 74% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 51% | 106 | 99 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 49% | 105 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 77% | 112 | 103 |
| 24 | Nuggets | 23% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hawks | 55% | 103 | 96 |
| 16 | Suns | 45% | 102 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 31% | 99 | 99 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 106 | 118 |
Thursday, March 12, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 36% | 94 | 103 |
| 13 | Pacers | 64% | 99 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 43% | 95 | 87 |
| 14 | Wizards | 57% | 97 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 43% | 101 | 128 |
| 3 | Spurs | 57% | 104 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 52% | 99 | 91 |
| 12 | Jazz | 48% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 32% | 97 | 101 |
| 27 | Lakers | 68% | 104 | 94 |
Wednesday, March 11, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 35% | 99 | 113 |
| 18 | Hornets | 65% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 67% | 100 | 104 |
| 29 | 76ers | 33% | 93 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 61% | 101 | 92 |
| 21 | Celtics | 39% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 36% | 95 | 98 |
| 20 | Heat | 64% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 28% | 94 | 91 |
| 19 | Bucks | 72% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 47% | 104 | 120 |
| 9 | Thunder | 53% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 62% | 106 | 102 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 38% | 102 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 36% | 101 | 97 |
| 17 | Suns | 64% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 13% | 96 | 98 |
| 1 | Warriors | 87% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 49% | 104 | 100 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 105 | 105 |
Tuesday, March 10, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 34% | 94 | 86 |
| 19 | Pacers | 66% | 100 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 45% | 101 | 111 |
| 23 | Nets | 55% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 56% | 106 | 127 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 44% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 34% | 100 | 107 |
| 3 | Spurs | 66% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 15% | 86 | 82 |
| 13 | Jazz | 85% | 101 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 53% | 105 | 85 |
| 27 | Lakers | 47% | 104 | 93 |