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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 29, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Grizzlies
89
3Spurs
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.5
36
24
10
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.5
35
29
6
1
9
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-6
3-7
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.2
34
29
16
6
4
0
1
1
4
0
6
2-2
100%
7-15
5-11
47%
48%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.7
33
27
20
13
0
0
1
0
1
2
11
2-3
67%
9-16
5-10
56%
47%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.2
23
18
5
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
41%
1-3
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
32
29
19
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
6-13
4-8
46%
46%
2-2
100%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.7
19
20
9
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.1
14
16
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.1
13
15
0
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.7
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 24.8
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.2
24
2
3-6
49%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.9
5
0
1-1
47%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.9
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.9
35
27
17
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
7-14
5-10
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.7
33
29
25
10
1
1
2
0
3
1
9
2-2
100%
10-14
5-9
71%
53%
1-3
33%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
29
27
9
3
5
2
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
1-3
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.2
29
22
15
8
2
2
1
0
1
2
6
3-3
100%
6-9
4-6
67%
56%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.9
24
28
10
5
4
0
1
3
0
1
4
2-2
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.0
22
25
10
7
2
0
1
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.7
20
18
4
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.3
19
11
4
7
0
0
0
2
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
52%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.0
14
19
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.6
13
17
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.0
1
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
1
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 28.5
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.9
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.