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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 29, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets58%10199
20Wizards42%9991
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.6
38
36
24
3
6
2
2
1
3
0
3
9-10
90%
6-14
5-11
43%
49%
1-6
17%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.7
38
37
13
8
2
2
2
0
4
1
7
5-5
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
2-8
25%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.3
36
29
14
10
3
1
1
2
4
4
6
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
47%
2-4
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.5
19
23
5
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.3
19
18
11
10
0
0
0
0
2
3
7
5-8
63%
3-6
3-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.9
29
16
10
6
3
3
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.3
24
16
7
8
0
3
1
0
0
1
7
1-4
25%
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.1
22
26
15
5
2
1
1
2
3
4
1
0-0
-
6-12
4-7
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.3
16
4
0
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-4
0%
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.2
9
0
2-3
55%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.1
2
0
0-1
44%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.9
2
0
0-1
46%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.7
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
43
36
25
8
12
4
2
1
7
2
6
11-12
92%
7-16
6-13
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.7
38
28
15
4
0
1
1
1
3
0
4
6-7
86%
3-7
3-8
43%
44%
1-4
25%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.5
34
22
10
7
1
3
1
0
2
0
7
2-5
40%
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
29
30
6
10
0
1
1
2
0
4
6
0-0
-
3-10
5-8
30%
55%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.5
22
21
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
18
23
4
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.8
18
5
15
6
0
1
0
0
1
3
3
5-7
71%
2-5
1-1
40%
48%
2-2
100%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.8
14
17
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.0
9
18
6
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.3
8
15
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.3
8
16
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.2
9
0
1-3
45%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.9
4
0
1-1
52%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.9
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.