Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Bulls	23%	98	94	104.4	90	92.8
	3	Cavaliers	77%	106	99	107.6	92	89.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III G · 6'6" 230 · 26	42.1	16	53%	4	5	3	0	2	4	1	3	2-3	67%	4-11	36%	2-3	67%
Aaron Brooks G · 6'0" 161 · 30	38.2	17	57%	5	6	1	0	7	4	2	3	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	2-6	33%
Mike Dunleavy F · 6'9" 230 · 35	33.4	24	86%	5	4	1	0	1	2	1	4	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	4-6	67%
Joakim Noah C · 6'11" 230 · 30	32.8	6	100%	8	7	2	0	1	3	3	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 35	30.8	12	50%	9	4	0	0	2	3	2	7	0-0	-	6-13	46%	0-0	-

Nikola Mirotic F · 6'10" 238 · 24	24.1	12	43%	10	0	0	0	2	0	0	10	3-6	50%	0-3	0%	3-9	33%
Taj Gibson F · 6'9" 232 · 30	22.8	5	42%	2	0	0	2	1	3	0	2	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26	9.8	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Tony Snell G · 6'7" 221 · 23	5.9	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Doug McDermott F · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 38	DNP - Coach's Decision
Cameron Bairstow F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Derrick Rose #1 · G · 6'3" 190 · 26	Inactive · INACTIVE
Kirk Hinrich #12 · G · 6'4" 190 · 34	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	55%	45	28	7	2	16	0	9	36	15-21	71%	23-49	47%	11-27	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

12 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III G · 6'6" 230 · 26	42.1	16	53%	4	5	3	0	2	4	1	3	2-3	67%	4-11	36%	2-3	67%
Aaron Brooks G · 6'0" 161 · 30	38.2	17	57%	5	6	1	0	7	4	2	3	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	2-6	33%
Mike Dunleavy F · 6'9" 230 · 35	33.4	24	86%	5	4	1	0	1	2	1	4	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	4-6	67%
Joakim Noah C · 6'11" 230 · 30	32.8	6	100%	8	7	2	0	1	3	3	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 35	30.8	12	50%	9	4	0	0	2	3	2	7	0-0	-	6-13	46%	0-0	-

Nikola Mirotic F · 6'10" 238 · 24	24.1	12	43%	10	0	0	0	2	0	0	10	3-6	50%	0-3	0%	3-9	33%
Taj Gibson F · 6'9" 232 · 30	22.8	5	42%	2	0	0	2	1	3	0	2	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26	9.8	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Tony Snell G · 6'7" 221 · 23	5.9	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Doug McDermott F · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 38	DNP - Coach's Decision
Cameron Bairstow F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Derrick Rose #1 · G · 6'3" 190 · 26	Inactive · INACTIVE
Kirk Hinrich #12 · G · 6'4" 190 · 34	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	55%	45	28	7	2	16	0	9	36	15-21	71%	23-49	47%	11-27	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
JR Smith G · 6'6" 225 · 30	43.4	24	71%	4	1	1	1	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	8-17	47%
Kyrie Irving G · 6'2" 195 · 23	37.1	27	59%	5	4	3	1	5	2	2	3	7-8	88%	4-14	29%	4-5	80%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 30	36.5	20	53%	10	12	3	1	3	4	2	8	3-6	50%	7-14	50%	1-3	33%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 29	31.7	11	69%	8	3	0	0	0	5	3	5	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Kevin Love F · 6'10" 251 · 27	30.8	11	46%	4	2	2	1	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-8	38%

Tristan Thompson C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24	23.9	4	33%	6	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	2-6	33%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Iman Shumpert G · 6'5" 212 · 25	23.6	0	0%	3	2	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
Matthew Dellavedova G · 6'4" 198 · 25	12.9	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kendrick Perkins C · 6'10" 270 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision
Shawn Marion G-F · 6'7" 228 · 37	DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35	DNP - Coach's Decision
Brendan Haywood C · 7'0" 263 · 35	DNP - Coach's Decision
Joe Harris #12 · F-G · 6'6" 219 · 24	Inactive · INACTIVE
Anderson Varejao #17 · F · 6'11" 260 · 33	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	52%	40	24	9	4	10	0	10	30	13-22	59%	19-46	41%	16-37	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	CLE

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.09 54.7%

CLE

1.03 51.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

11

18

61%

CLE

11

24

46%

Midrange

CHI

12

31

39%

CLE

8

22

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

11

16.5

27

41%

61%

CLE

16

24.0

37

43%

65%

Free Throws

CHI

15

21

71%

CLE

13

22

59%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Dunleavy	24	86%	12.0 / 14
A. Brooks	17	57%	8.5 / 15
J. Butler	16	53%	8.0 / 15
P. Gasol	12	50%	6.0 / 12
N. Mirotic	12	43%	6.0 / 14
J. Noah	6	100%	3.0 / 3
T. Gibson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Snell	2	33%	1.0 / 3
E. Moore	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Irving	27	59%	13.5 / 23
J. Smith	24	71%	12.0 / 17
L. James	20	53%	10.0 / 19
T. Mozgov	11	69%	5.5 / 8
K. Love	11	46%	5.5 / 12
T. Thompson	4	33%	2.0 / 6
M. Dellavedova	2	50%	1.0 / 2
I. Shumpert	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 107.4 3 111.3	CHI 104.4 CLE 107.6 +3.2
Pace	21 92.9 25 92.3	CHI 92.8 +3.4 CLE 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time	11 15.7 8 15.8	CHI 15.5 −0.6 CLE 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 48.9% 4 52.0%	CHI 52.0% +0.2% CLE 51.8%
TO %	11 14.0% 19 14.7%	CHI 15.8% CLE 10.6% −5.2%
ORB %	5 26.9% 6 26.9%	CHI 23.1% +1.4% CLE 21.7%
FTrt	5 30.4 10 28.7	CHI 27.6 +1.1 CLE 26.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 59.3% 13 58.7%	CHI 82.4% +13.8% CLE 68.6%
STL %	28 6.7% 19 7.9%	CHI 7.8% CLE 9.8% +2.0%
BLK %	7 8.6% 25 6.8%	CHI 4.3% CLE 8.2% +3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 51.8% 4 54.3%	CHI 54.7% +3.1% CLE 51.6%
Rim FG%	26 54.7% 6 59.7%	CHI 61.1% +15.3% CLE 45.8%
Mid FG%	22 39.4% 19 39.8%	CHI 38.7% +2.3% CLE 36.4%
3P %	10 35.3% 5 36.7%	CHI 40.7% CLE 43.2% +2.5%
FT %	3 78.3% 18 75.1%	CHI 71.4% +12.3% CLE 59.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 38.1% 15 35.5%	CHI 23.7% CLE 28.9% +5.2%
Mid Att. %	11 35.0% 4 31.0%	CHI 40.8% CLE 26.5% −14.3%
3P Att. %	16 26.9% 2 33.4%	CHI 35.5% CLE 44.6% +9.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHI	CLE
Possessions	90	92
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	94	99
Rebounds	45	40
Assists	28	24
Steals	7	9
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (1)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (5)	30 (4)
Field Goals	34-76	35-83
At-the-Rim FG	11-18	11-24
Midrange FG	12-31	8-22
2-Point FG	23-49	19-46
3-Point FG	11-27	16-37
Free Throws	15-21	13-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg