Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, April 5, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 53% | 107 | 115 | |
5 | Thunder | 47% | 106 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Bulls | 94 | |||
1 | Cavaliers | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 33% | 94 | 89 | |
10 | Pacers | 67% | 100 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Warriors | 92 | |||
4 | Spurs | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | 76ers | 56% | 97 | 91 | |
30 | Knicks | 44% | 95 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Jazz | 101 | |||
24 | Kings | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Clippers | 72% | 110 | 106 | |
26 | Lakers | 28% | 102 | 78 |
Saturday, April 4, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | 76ers | 41% | 96 | 91 | |
23 | Hornets | 59% | 98 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Nets | 99 | |||
13 | Hawks | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 49% | 99 | 98 | |
18 | Pistons | 51% | 100 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Celtics | 117 | |||
10 | Raptors | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Wizards | 31% | 94 | 92 | |
8 | Grizzlies | 69% | 101 | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Warriors | 123 | |||
14 | Mavericks | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Magic | 31% | 95 | 97 | |
22 | Bucks | 69% | 102 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Clippers | 107 | |||
25 | Nuggets | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Jazz | 49% | 98 | 85 | |
21 | Suns | 51% | 99 | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pelicans | 90 | |||
9 | Trail Blazers | 99 |
Friday, April 3, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hornets | 38% | 97 | 74 | |
10 | Pacers | 62% | 101 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Knicks | 87 | |||
18 | Wizards | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Bucks | 41% | 100 | 110 | |
17 | Celtics | 59% | 104 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Raptors | 109 | |||
21 | Nets | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pistons | 28% | 98 | 82 | |
7 | Bulls | 72% | 106 | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 92 | |||
8 | Grizzlies | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Magic | 54% | 104 | 97 | |
28 | Timberwolves | 46% | 102 | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Nuggets | 93 | |||
4 | Spurs | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Pelicans | 64% | 105 | 101 | |
24 | Kings | 36% | 100 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Trail Blazers | 107 | |||
26 | Lakers | 77 |
Thursday, April 2, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 88 | |||
1 | Cavaliers | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 44% | 103 | 108 | |
11 | Mavericks | 56% | 105 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Suns | 106 | |||
2 | Warriors | 107 |
Wednesday, April 1, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 78 | |||
20 | Hornets | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Spurs | 74% | 105 | 103 | |
27 | Magic | 26% | 96 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | 76ers | 93 | |||
19 | Wizards | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Pacers | 38% | 100 | 87 | |
17 | Celtics | 62% | 104 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Nets | 100 | |||
30 | Knicks | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Kings | 23% | 98 | 111 | |
6 | Rockets | 77% | 109 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Bulls | 91 | |||
22 | Bucks | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Raptors | 71% | 109 | 113 | |
28 | Timberwolves | 29% | 101 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Mavericks | 135 | |||
5 | Thunder | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Nuggets | 37% | 97 | 84 | |
16 | Jazz | 63% | 102 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 126 | |||
14 | Trail Blazers | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pelicans | 60% | 104 | 113 | |
26 | Lakers | 40% | 100 | 92 |
Tuesday, March 31, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Pacers | 106 | |||
24 | Nets | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Hawks | 49% | 102 | 95 | |
18 | Pistons | 51% | 103 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 95 | |||
15 | Heat | 81 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Warriors | 42% | 105 | 110 | |
4 | Clippers | 58% | 108 | 106 |
Monday, March 30, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Celtics | 44% | 101 | 116 | |
20 | Hornets | 56% | 103 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Lakers | 113 | |||
29 | 76ers | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Bucks | 37% | 96 | 88 | |
11 | Hawks | 63% | 101 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 96 | |||
10 | Raptors | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Kings | 32% | 98 | 83 | |
9 | Grizzlies | 68% | 105 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Jazz | 104 | |||
28 | Timberwolves | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Suns | 32% | 99 | 86 | |
12 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 106 | 109 |
Sunday, March 29, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | 76ers | 86 | |||
1 | Cavaliers | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Lakers | 39% | 101 | 99 | |
24 | Nets | 61% | 105 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Timberwolves | 88 | |||
13 | Pelicans | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 58% | 107 | 119 | |
16 | Celtics | 42% | 104 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 102 | |||
15 | Heat | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 58% | 101 | 99 | |
20 | Wizards | 42% | 99 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Grizzlies | 89 | |||
3 | Spurs | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Mavericks | 49% | 101 | 99 | |
8 | Pacers | 51% | 102 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 109 | |||
19 | Suns | 97 |
Saturday, March 28, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Hawks | 56% | 101 | 100 | |
21 | Hornets | 44% | 99 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Knicks | 80 | |||
7 | Bulls | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Warriors | 63% | 104 | 108 | |
22 | Bucks | 37% | 99 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 89 | |||
17 | Jazz | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Nuggets | 32% | 102 | 114 | |
12 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 108 | 120 |
Friday, March 27, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 111 | |||
27 | Magic | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 74% | 105 | 119 | |
29 | 76ers | 26% | 96 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Hornets | 107 | |||
20 | Wizards | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 30% | 95 | 86 | |
8 | Hawks | 70% | 102 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cavaliers | 98 | |||
25 | Nets | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Celtics | 77% | 104 | 96 | |
30 | Knicks | 23% | 94 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Lakers | 83 | |||
12 | Raptors | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Timberwolves | 16% | 95 | 110 | |
6 | Rockets | 84% | 108 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Warriors | 107 | |||
10 | Grizzlies | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Kings | 33% | 100 | 88 | |
14 | Pelicans | 67% | 106 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Mavericks | 76 | |||
3 | Spurs | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Jazz | 51% | 100 | 91 | |
22 | Nuggets | 49% | 99 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Trail Blazers | 87 | |||
19 | Suns | 81 |
Thursday, March 26, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Pacers | 43% | 96 | 107 | |
23 | Bucks | 57% | 98 | 111 |
Wednesday, March 25, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Nets | 91 | |||
22 | Hornets | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 86% | 108 | 111 | |
30 | Knicks | 14% | 93 | 80 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Hawks | 95 | |||
28 | Magic | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Pacers | 47% | 97 | 103 | |
19 | Wizards | 53% | 98 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 93 | |||
16 | Celtics | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Bulls | 52% | 104 | 116 | |
11 | Raptors | 48% | 103 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cavaliers | 111 | |||
7 | Grizzlies | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Lakers | 46% | 103 | 101 | |
27 | Timberwolves | 54% | 104 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 95 | |||
14 | Pelicans | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | 76ers | 27% | 97 | 99 | |
21 | Nuggets | 73% | 105 | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Trail Blazers | 92 | |||
17 | Jazz | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 23% | 99 | 91 | |
2 | Spurs | 77% | 109 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Kings | 108 | |||
18 | Suns | 99 |
Tuesday, March 24, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Raptors | 104 | |||
20 | Pistons | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 47% | 95 | 88 | |
23 | Bucks | 53% | 96 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Lakers | 117 | |||
5 | Thunder | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 55% | 104 | 94 | |
13 | Mavericks | 45% | 102 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | 76ers | 106 | |||
24 | Kings | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Warriors | 55% | 106 | 122 | |
9 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 104 | 108 |
Monday, March 23, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 110 | |||
9 | Pacers | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Celtics | 43% | 101 | 110 | |
25 | Nets | 57% | 104 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Grizzlies | 103 | |||
30 | Knicks | 82 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hornets | 34% | 96 | 86 | |
8 | Bulls | 66% | 102 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Timberwolves | 106 | |||
16 | Jazz | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Wizards | 20% | 96 | 76 | |
2 | Warriors | 80% | 108 | 107 |