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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 5, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Jazz56%99101
26Kings44%9795
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 22.8
38.2
34.0
10
71%
9
3
1
1
2
3
3
6
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
59%
0-0
-
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 19.7
36.0
28.4
8
54%
1
6
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 22.5
33.6
21.0
25
62%
3
2
4
1
0
0
0
3
6-7
86%
8-11
2-4
73%
48%
1-6
17%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.0
19.9
34.8
5
23%
5
3
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-8
5-10
13%
48%
1-3
33%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 23.7
16.2
27.3
11
48%
5
0
2
1
1
0
3
2
1-1
100%
5-11
6-12
45%
53%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.4
27.1
23.7
8
44%
9
2
0
1
2
0
3
6
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 27.5
21.1
20.6
8
80%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
2-4
50%
Bryce Cotton
G · 6'1" 165 · 22.6
12.6
8.0
8
69%
4
2
0
0
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 24.9
10.9
10.5
3
38%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Elijah Millsap
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.6
10.4
13.4
5
46%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 27.4
7.9
6.4
10
73%
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
2-2
100%
4-6
1-1
67%
54%
0-0
-
Jack Cooley
C · 6'10" 274 · 24.0
6.0
2.9
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 22.4
16.5
0
2-5
43%
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.7
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.1
37.9
30.3
20
78%
5
4
4
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
49%
2-3
67%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.6
35.2
33.5
26
50%
12
4
1
1
1
8
4
8
4-9
44%
11-22
9-17
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
33.3
31.5
8
29%
5
7
4
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-10
3-7
20%
47%
1-3
33%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.8
30.5
31.1
14
60%
5
0
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
4-7
3-7
57%
50%
1-3
33%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.5
14.1
15.2
6
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.7
31.5
18.9
6
61%
9
2
0
0
1
2
2
7
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
26.5
22.7
9
60%
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
1-3
33%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.5
16.3
20.0
4
52%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 39.0
14.7
14.2
2
35%
4
1
0
0
1
3
0
4
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 34.9
5.9
0
0-1
46%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 30.5
3.6
0
0-1
62%
Sim Bhullar
C · 7'5" 360 · 22.3
3.3
0
0-1
53%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.6
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.3
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.