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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 5, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Warriors
92
4Spurs
107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.1
30
30
24
4
6
1
2
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
5-10
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
28
26
4
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
27
24
6
7
6
1
1
0
1
3
4
2-4
50%
2-8
2-5
25%
49%
0-3
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
24
29
6
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
46%
0-3
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.3
19
22
10
7
2
0
1
1
2
3
4
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.2
25
27
10
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
2-4
50%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.4
24
18
12
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.0
18
8
8
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
2-4
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.9
14
15
5
6
2
0
0
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.5
12
12
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.7
11
14
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.2
9
14
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.6
21
1
3-6
48%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.7
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
29
20
18
6
3
0
1
3
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
4-6
67%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
24
26
26
5
3
7
2
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
10-15
5-8
67%
54%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.0
24
14
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.9
24
20
19
7
2
0
0
0
2
2
5
7-8
88%
6-7
3-6
86%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.9
23
25
8
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
5-9
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.0
23
24
2
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
52%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.7
22
18
6
4
5
0
1
1
2
0
4
1-1
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.0
21
22
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
18
17
9
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.3
13
17
8
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.6
7
13
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.9
7
8
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
5
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.3
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.