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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 16, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Grizzlies45%10185
16Bulls55%10298
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.2
36.7
33.1
18
82%
7
6
2
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
6-9
3-7
67%
48%
2-2
100%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.2
34.1
30.8
8
27%
7
2
1
1
1
1
1
6
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
45%
1-8
13%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.9
34.0
35.8
8
40%
7
7
0
1
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
4-10
6-13
40%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.3
33.4
34.5
11
40%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
2-4
50%
3-9
4-10
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.8
22.2
29.4
7
40%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.4
29.9
26.0
10
51%
11
5
0
1
0
1
0
11
2-2
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
45%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.6
26.5
18.2
8
47%
3
4
0
1
1
2
0
3
4-8
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.5
14.1
12.7
11
64%
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
1
3-6
50%
4-5
1-3
80%
46%
0-1
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.5
9.2
0.7
4
69%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.9
11.0
1
1-3
46%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.9
4.2
0
0-1
40%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.6
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.7
2.7
0
0-1
38%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.3
38.1
33.4
24
51%
4
4
1
2
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
9-18
5-11
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.4
33.4
27.6
10
64%
14
2
0
0
2
2
1
13
4-4
100%
3-5
6-12
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.2
33.1
28.9
19
47%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-3
33%
9-16
5-10
56%
47%
0-3
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.1
22.1
25.7
2
25%
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
18.6
21.5
8
58%
6
1
1
0
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.8
29.4
23.4
3
26%
6
5
0
1
1
2
2
4
1-4
25%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.0
23.1
23.7
17
68%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
4-8
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.9
16.8
11.2
7
39%
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
1-2
50%
0-4
1-3
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.8
14.6
18.8
3
75%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
1-2
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.0
10.7
14.6
5
83%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
1-1
100%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26.8
7.4
0
1-2
48%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 20.8
2.7
0
0-1
51%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
1.9
0
0-0
48%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.4
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.