Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, December 16, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Mavericks | 44% | 106 | 81 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Hornets | 59% | 104 | 98 |
 | 26 | Magic | 41% | 101 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Heat | 63% | 106 | 104 |
 | 29 | Nets | 37% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Celtics | 45% | 104 | 116 |
 | 15 | Pistons | 55% | 106 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Timberwolves | 41% | 104 | 102 |
 | 25 | Knicks | 59% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Bulls | 55% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Thunder | 72% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Pelicans | 46% | 104 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bucks | 16% | 97 | 90 |
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Tuesday, December 15, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | Celtics | 54% | 106 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 23 | Timberwolves | 63% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 55% | 104 | 95 |
 | 28 | Lakers | 45% | 103 | 113 |
Monday, December 14, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Raptors | 36% | 101 | 90 |
| 6 | Pacers | 64% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 52% | 105 | 105 |
| 28 | Nets | 48% | 104 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 57% | 109 | 105 |
| 18 | Pistons | 43% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 33% | 99 | 100 |
| 9 | Hawks | 67% | 105 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 18% | 95 | 96 |
| 14 | Bulls | 82% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 44% | 102 | 95 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 56% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Suns | 29% | 105 | 94 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 71% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 19% | 91 | 81 |
| 2 | Spurs | 81% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 57% | 109 | 108 |
| 24 | Nuggets | 43% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 41% | 107 | 101 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 111 | 105 |
Sunday, December 13, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 42% | 106 | 101 |
| 22 | Suns | 58% | 108 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 48% | 100 | 97 |
| 21 | Heat | 52% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 19% | 95 | 76 |
| 11 | Raptors | 81% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 29% | 101 | 98 |
| 3 | Thunder | 71% | 108 | 104 |
Saturday, December 12, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 73% | 112 | 105 |
| 28 | Nets | 27% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 47% | 105 | 98 |
| 12 | Hornets | 53% | 107 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pacers | 53% | 106 | 96 |
| 17 | Pistons | 47% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 49% | 100 | 103 |
| 7 | Hawks | 51% | 101 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 35% | 103 | 94 |
| 14 | Bulls | 65% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 21% | 104 | 97 |
| 10 | Rockets | 79% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 30% | 103 | 114 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 70% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 80% | 108 | 95 |
| 26 | Bucks | 20% | 97 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 38% | 103 | 112 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 107 | 110 |
Friday, December 11, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Heat | 33% | 101 | 83 |
| 7 | Pacers | 67% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 60% | 105 | 111 |
| 24 | Magic | 40% | 102 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 72% | 106 | 107 |
| 30 | 76ers | 28% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 63% | 111 | 124 |
| 8 | Celtics | 37% | 107 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 28% | 96 | 83 |
| 11 | Raptors | 72% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 43% | 100 | 123 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 57% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 47% | 107 | 105 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 53% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 51% | 106 | 108 |
| 26 | Nuggets | 49% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 53% | 105 | 94 |
| 15 | Jazz | 47% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 12% | 92 | 87 |
| 2 | Spurs | 88% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 107 | 106 |
| 23 | Suns | 52% | 108 | 96 |
Thursday, December 10, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 38% | 101 | 91 |
| 28 | Nets | 62% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 53% | 107 | 80 |
| 14 | Bulls | 47% | 106 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hawks | 35% | 105 | 94 |
| 4 | Thunder | 65% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 31% | 105 | 97 |
| 17 | Kings | 69% | 112 | 99 |
Wednesday, December 9, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 38% | 103 | 100 |
| 8 | Celtics | 62% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 43% | 101 | 81 |
| 13 | Hornets | 57% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 43% | 107 | 109 |
| 19 | Wizards | 57% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 42% | 101 | 93 |
| 21 | Pistons | 58% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 60% | 101 | 94 |
| 11 | Raptors | 40% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 67% | 107 | 109 |
| 26 | Bucks | 33% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 33% | 103 | 122 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 67% | 109 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 39% | 105 | 104 |
| 23 | Suns | 61% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 40% | 100 | 85 |
| 17 | Jazz | 60% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hawks | 45% | 105 | 98 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 55% | 107 | 95 |
Tuesday, December 8, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 102 | 100 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 71% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 60% | 109 | 131 |
| 5 | Pacers | 40% | 106 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 64% | 110 | 105 |
| 28 | Nets | 36% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 51% | 106 | 125 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 49% | 105 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 51% | 106 | 85 |
| 27 | Nuggets | 49% | 105 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 49% | 106 | 106 |
| 21 | Kings | 51% | 107 | 114 |
Monday, December 7, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 35% | 102 | 84 |
| 13 | Hornets | 65% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 76% | 104 | 119 |
| 30 | 76ers | 24% | 94 | 68 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 33% | 100 | 114 |
| 14 | Heat | 67% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 55% | 107 | 104 |
| 25 | Knicks | 45% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 18% | 100 | 93 |
| 10 | Raptors | 82% | 113 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Suns | 32% | 102 | 103 |
| 15 | Bulls | 68% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 104 | 88 |
| 27 | Bucks | 44% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 58% | 108 | 110 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 42% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 51% | 111 | 111 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 49% | 110 | 93 |
Sunday, December 6, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Suns | 34% | 102 | 93 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 66% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 77% | 111 | 114 |
| 28 | Nets | 23% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 28% | 103 | 91 |
| 15 | Pistons | 72% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 53% | 107 | 116 |
| 20 | Wizards | 47% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 22% | 107 | 95 |
| 2 | Thunder | 78% | 118 | 98 |
Saturday, December 5, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 54% | 103 | 108 |
| 30 | 76ers | 46% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 64% | 107 | 112 |
| 10 | Raptors | 36% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 51% | 103 | 84 |
| 12 | Heat | 49% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 42% | 102 | 102 |
| 13 | Bulls | 58% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 38% | 108 | 113 |
| 9 | Rockets | 62% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 105 | 109 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 51% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 51% | 102 | 91 |
| 26 | Bucks | 49% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 27% | 98 | 105 |
| 2 | Spurs | 73% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pacers | 52% | 102 | 119 |
| 14 | Jazz | 48% | 101 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 37% | 104 | 101 |
| 17 | Clippers | 63% | 108 | 103 |
Friday, December 4, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 43% | 102 | 91 |
| 25 | Knicks | 57% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 40% | 106 | 106 |
| 17 | Wizards | 60% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 28% | 98 | 95 |
| 14 | Pistons | 72% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 24% | 101 | 87 |
| 6 | Hawks | 76% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 40% | 107 | 100 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 60% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 61% | 111 | 108 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 39% | 107 | 114 |
Thursday, December 3, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 54% | 107 | 95 |
| 13 | Heat | 46% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nuggets | 23% | 97 | 106 |
| 9 | Raptors | 77% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 31% | 98 | 103 |
| 11 | Jazz | 69% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 51% | 99 | 103 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 49% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pacers | 54% | 105 | 111 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 104 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 53% | 111 | 114 |
| 21 | Kings | 47% | 110 | 97 |