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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 4, 2015
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Nets43%10291
25Knicks57%104108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.7
35
35
21
4
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
5-5
100%
8-20
8-16
40%
51%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
33
33
18
11
1
1
2
0
3
4
7
0-0
-
9-19
6-13
47%
50%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.4
32
35
9
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
1-2
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.1
24
29
5
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 20.9
18
24
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.2
23
23
6
2
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
19
18
7
7
0
2
0
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
1-1
100%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.7
14
10
10
8
0
0
0
0
1
1
7
0-2
0%
5-6
1-3
83%
48%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.0
13
16
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-3
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.6
11
2
8
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
2-4
50%
3-4
0-1
75%
46%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
9
2
0
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-1
0%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.1
8
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.9
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.8
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.5
31
25
28
7
3
2
1
0
2
1
6
5-7
71%
4-10
5-10
40%
48%
5-8
63%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 27.7
30
19
7
5
3
0
0
3
1
3
2
1-1
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
29
26
18
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.2
29
28
1
4
9
2
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 20.3
26
30
19
10
2
0
1
2
1
2
8
2-2
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
52%
3-4
75%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.6
22
21
9
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.0
20
22
8
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
2-5
40%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.2
18
17
4
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.5
17
15
8
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-3
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26.0
14
17
4
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
50%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.0
4
6
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
45%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25.7
6
0
1-2
51%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 31.7
5
0
0-1
41%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.