Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Suns	30%	111	83	86.5	96	104.9
	9	Trail Blazers	70%	117	124	126.5	98	90.3

Prediction updated:

Scoring Opportunities

PHX

+14

-15

POR

+24

-17

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX

0.87 43.7%

POR

1.18 59.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Booker #15 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 30	29.4	23	68%	4	2	1	1	2	2	2	2	9-9	100%	7-13	54%	0-0	-	+8.6
Miles Bridges #22 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	28.6	8	33%	4	0	1	1	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-5	0%	+2.0
Dillon Brooks #3 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	26.7	10	42%	4	0	0	0	2	2	1	3	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	1-2	50%	−0.1
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 25	24.9	10	42%	2	3	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-6	33%	+2.0
Khaman Maluach #10 · C · 7'1" 250 · 20	16.9	2	50%	6	1	0	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-	+1.9

Jordan Goodwin #23 · G · 6'3" 215 · 28	21.5	3	38%	4	0	2	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	+3.0
Collin Gillespie #12 · G · 6'1" 195 · 27	21.3	0	0%	1	2	4	0	4	3	1	0	0-1	0%	0-0	-	0-8	0%	+0.3
Oso Ighodaro #11 · F · 6'11" 235 · 24	14.6	8	50%	3	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-	+3.5
Ryan Dunn #0 · F · 6'7" 216 · 24	14.2	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-1	0%	+1.6
Rasheer Fleming #20 · F · 6'9" 240 · 22	12.0	1	8%	2	0	1	1	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%	+1.1
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'10" 245 · 30	8.8	5	83%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	+1.3
Jamaree Bouyea #17 · G · 6'2" 180 · 27	7.0	3	150%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+2.5
Koa Peat #18 · F · 6'7" 245 · 20	7.0	4	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-	+0.9
Pat Spencer #61 · G · 6'2" 205 · 30	7.0	3	75%	3	1	1	1	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	+3.0
Drew Timme #17 · F · 6'9" 235 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Kennard G · 6'5" 206 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Tendinopathy
Mark Williams #25 · C · 7'1" 240 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Shoulder Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	44%	39	14	10	1	15	17	13	26	17-23	74%	24-52	46%	6-32	19%

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18 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Booker #15 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 30	29.4	23	68%	4	2	1	1	2	2	2	2	9-9	100%	7-13	54%	0-0	-	+8.6
Miles Bridges #22 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	28.6	8	33%	4	0	1	1	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-5	0%	+2.0
Dillon Brooks #3 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	26.7	10	42%	4	0	0	0	2	2	1	3	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	1-2	50%	−0.1
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 25	24.9	10	42%	2	3	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-6	33%	+2.0
Khaman Maluach #10 · C · 7'1" 250 · 20	16.9	2	50%	6	1	0	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-	+1.9

Jordan Goodwin #23 · G · 6'3" 215 · 28	21.5	3	38%	4	0	2	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	+3.0
Collin Gillespie #12 · G · 6'1" 195 · 27	21.3	0	0%	1	2	4	0	4	3	1	0	0-1	0%	0-0	-	0-8	0%	+0.3
Oso Ighodaro #11 · F · 6'11" 235 · 24	14.6	8	50%	3	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-	+3.5
Ryan Dunn #0 · F · 6'7" 216 · 24	14.2	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-1	0%	+1.6
Rasheer Fleming #20 · F · 6'9" 240 · 22	12.0	1	8%	2	0	1	1	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%	+1.1
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'10" 245 · 30	8.8	5	83%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	+1.3
Jamaree Bouyea #17 · G · 6'2" 180 · 27	7.0	3	150%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+2.5
Koa Peat #18 · F · 6'7" 245 · 20	7.0	4	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-	+0.9
Pat Spencer #61 · G · 6'2" 205 · 30	7.0	3	75%	3	1	1	1	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	+3.0
Drew Timme #17 · F · 6'9" 235 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Kennard G · 6'5" 206 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Tendinopathy
Mark Williams #25 · C · 7'1" 240 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Shoulder Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	44%	39	14	10	1	15	17	13	26	17-23	74%	24-52	46%	6-32	19%

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9 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 36	23.9	25	89%	3	6	1	0	1	0	1	2	5-5	100%	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	+14.7
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 26	23.4	18	50%	10	4	2	0	2	1	3	7	2-4	50%	5-12	42%	2-4	50%	+8.4
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	22.6	18	90%	2	3	0	0	1	3	1	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	+8.8
Ja Morant #1 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	22.6	14	88%	5	8	3	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-3	67%	+13.0
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 23	20.7	11	61%	7	2	0	0	1	2	2	5	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%	+4.5

Sidy Cissoko #91 · G · 6'6" 220 · 23	25.1	3	50%	4	3	0	0	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%	+3.3
Jrue Holiday #5 · G · 6'4" 220 · 36	20.6	8	50%	4	1	2	0	0	1	2	2	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%	+6.1
Scoot Henderson #00 · G · 6'3" 207 · 23	19.3	15	54%	2	1	1	0	4	0	0	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	1-6	17%	+2.0
Vít Krejčí #27 · G · 6'8" 195 · 26	15.5	1	17%	2	3	2	0	2	3	0	2	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%	+1.9
Robert Williams III #35 · C-F · 6'9" 249 · 29	15.3	2	33%	10	1	0	1	0	1	3	7	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-	+3.2
Micah Potter #9 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	12.0	4	67%	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	+0.8
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	12.0	5	63%	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	+0.4
Jayson Kent #29 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25	7.0	0	0%	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	−1.7
Branden Carlson C · 7'0" 220 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Concussion Protocol
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · G · 6'5" 210 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Meniscus Surgery
Chris Youngblood #11 · G · 6'4" 221 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Ankle Soreness
John Tonje #8 · G · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - Not On Report
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	59%	56	32	12	6	17	18	16	40	15-18	83%	26-47	55%	19-47	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	POR
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX

0.87 43.7%

POR

1.18 59.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHX

60%

POR

58%

Midrange

PHX

38%

POR

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHX

9.0

19%

28%

POR

28.5

40%

61%

Free Throws

PHX

74%

POR

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Booker	23	68%	11.5 / 17
D. Brooks	10	42%	5.0 / 12
J. Green	10	42%	5.0 / 12
M. Bridges	8	33%	4.0 / 12
O. Ighodaro	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Reath	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. Peat	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Goodwin	3	38%	1.5 / 4
R. Dunn	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Bouyea	3	150%	1.5 / 1
P. Spencer	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Maluach	2	50%	1.0 / 2
R. Fleming	1	8%	0.5 / 6
C. Gillespie	0	-	0.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	25	89%	12.5 / 14
D. Avdija	18	50%	9.0 / 18
T. Camara	18	90%	9.0 / 10
S. Henderson	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Morant	14	88%	7.0 / 8
D. Clingan	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Holiday	8	50%	4.0 / 8
Y. Hansen	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Potter	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Cissoko	3	50%	1.5 / 3
R. Williams	2	33%	1.0 / 3
V. Krejčí	1	17%	0.5 / 3
J. Kent	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 114.8 3 118.9	PHX 86.5 POR 126.5 +40.1
Pace	24 98.3 9 100.7	PHX 104.9 +14.6 POR 90.3
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 20 14.3	PHX 13.7 −2.2 POR 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.0% 3 56.0%	PHX 39.3% POR 58.0% +18.7%
TO %	11 14.0% 20 15.4%	PHX 14.5% POR 14.3% −0.2%
ORB %	22 25.1% 12 29.0%	PHX 24.5% POR 38.1% +13.6%
FTrt	27 23.3 2 36.2	PHX 27.4 +8.3 POR 19.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 66.3% 19 65.0%	PHX 46.7% POR 71.1% +24.4%
STL %	15 8.2% 27 6.9%	PHX 10.4% POR 12.2% +1.8%
BLK %	17 9.9% 27 8.1%	PHX 2.1% POR 11.5% +9.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 57.0% 3 59.0%	PHX 43.7% POR 59.0% +15.3%
Rim FG%	19 62.0% 17 62.5%	PHX 60.0% +1.9% POR 58.1%
Mid FG%	5 47.1% 1 51.2%	PHX 37.5% POR 50.0% +12.5%
3P %	6 37.6% 12 35.9%	PHX 18.8% POR 40.4% +21.6%
FT %	16 77.6% 22 75.9%	PHX 73.9% POR 83.3% +9.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 26.9% 18 30.8%	PHX 23.8% POR 33.0% +9.2%
Mid Att. %	27 31.8% 2 18.9%	PHX 38.1% POR 17.0% −21.1%
3P Att. %	20 41.3% 2 50.3%	PHX 38.1% POR 50.0% +11.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Game Totals	PHX	POR
Possessions	96	98
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	83	124
Rebounds	39	56
Assists	14	32
Steals	10	12
Blocks	1	6
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	17	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (1)	16 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (0)	40 (2)
Field Goals	30-84	45-94
At-the-Rim FG	12-20	18-31
Midrange FG	12-32	8-16
2-Point FG	24-52	26-47
3-Point FG	6-32	19-47
Free Throws	17-23	15-18
Fast Break Pts	10	19
2nd Chance Pts	12	26
Points in Paint	40	50
Pts off Turnovers	11	24
Bench Points	30	38
Biggest Lead	0	52

	PHI	127 ◀
	CHI	121

	LAL	121 ◀
	DET	116

	BKN	93
	DAL	130 ◀

	BOS	117 ◀
	MIL	97

	NOP	123
	LAC	139 ◀

	UTA	100
	MIN	115 ◀

	MIA	114 ◀
	SAC	108

	CLE	112
	CHA	124 ◀

	MEM	118 ◀
	TOR	102

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg