Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Hornets	62%	115	110	107.8	102	97.3
	30	Nets	38%	112	103	102.0	101	106.2

Prediction updated:

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+23

-20

105

BKN

+12

-22

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.05 52.4%

BKN

1.13 56.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 24	35.6	18	41%	3	1	0	1	3	3	1	2	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	3-14	21%	+2.3
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	34.7	19	63%	4	6	0	0	3	1	0	4	5-5	100%	7-10	70%	0-3	0%	+6.0
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 25	33.6	17	71%	8	3	5	0	4	4	5	3	3-3	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-	+11.2
Naz Reid #0 · PF · 6'9" 264 · 27	32.7	20	53%	11	7	0	0	1	4	2	9	0-1	0%	4-9	44%	4-10	40%	+9.6
Sion James #4 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 24	26.8	3	21%	3	0	1	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%	+0.7

Grayson Allen #8 · G · 6'3" 198 · 31	28.8	21	95%	3	4	0	0	4	0	0	3	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	+8.4
Royce O'Neale #00 · F · 6'6" 226 · 33	17.1	8	67%	4	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	+5.0
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 25	14.0	4	67%	5	3	0	2	1	4	3	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-	+4.2
Christian Anderson #5 · G · 6'1" 180 · 21	13.3	0	0%	2	2	2	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	+0.9
Liam McNeeley #33 · F · 6'7" 210 · 21	3.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	−0.1
Tidjane Salaün #31 · F · 6'10" 207 · 21	DNP
Hannes Steinbach #22 · F-C · 6'10" 248 · 20	DNP
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 25	DNP
Kon Knueppel #7 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hamstring Strain
Grant Williams #2 · F · 6'7" 236 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Hamstring Strain
Coby White #3 · G · 6'4" 210 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Calf Strain
Kylan Boswell G · 6'2" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee Surgery
Michael Ajayi G · 6'7" 235 · 23	Inactive - Not On Report
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	52%	44	25	9	5	20	23	15	29	13-15	87%	26-45	58%	15-48	31%

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17 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 24	35.6	18	41%	3	1	0	1	3	3	1	2	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	3-14	21%	+2.3
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	34.7	19	63%	4	6	0	0	3	1	0	4	5-5	100%	7-10	70%	0-3	0%	+6.0
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 25	33.6	17	71%	8	3	5	0	4	4	5	3	3-3	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-	+11.2
Naz Reid #0 · PF · 6'9" 264 · 27	32.7	20	53%	11	7	0	0	1	4	2	9	0-1	0%	4-9	44%	4-10	40%	+9.6
Sion James #4 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 24	26.8	3	21%	3	0	1	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%	+0.7

Grayson Allen #8 · G · 6'3" 198 · 31	28.8	21	95%	3	4	0	0	4	0	0	3	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	+8.4
Royce O'Neale #00 · F · 6'6" 226 · 33	17.1	8	67%	4	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	+5.0
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 25	14.0	4	67%	5	3	0	2	1	4	3	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-	+4.2
Christian Anderson #5 · G · 6'1" 180 · 21	13.3	0	0%	2	2	2	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	+0.9
Liam McNeeley #33 · F · 6'7" 210 · 21	3.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	−0.1
Tidjane Salaün #31 · F · 6'10" 207 · 21	DNP
Hannes Steinbach #22 · F-C · 6'10" 248 · 20	DNP
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 25	DNP
Kon Knueppel #7 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hamstring Strain
Grant Williams #2 · F · 6'7" 236 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Hamstring Strain
Coby White #3 · G · 6'4" 210 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Calf Strain
Kylan Boswell G · 6'2" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee Surgery
Michael Ajayi G · 6'7" 235 · 23	Inactive - Not On Report
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	52%	44	25	9	5	20	23	15	29	13-15	87%	26-45	58%	15-48	31%

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30 Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 32	37.8	33	72%	8	7	0	1	4	4	0	8	8-11	73%	8-13	62%	3-5	60%	+12.6
Michael Porter Jr. #17 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 28	34.2	26	62%	7	1	3	0	4	2	1	6	1-2	50%	5-10	50%	5-11	45%	+9.6
Keon Ellis #1 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 27	33.9	7	50%	2	4	2	1	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	+6.1
Day'Ron Sharpe #20 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	29.7	8	80%	8	3	0	3	2	4	3	5	0-1	0%	4-5	80%	0-0	-	+5.7
Egor Dëmin #8 · PG · 6'8" 200 · 21	26.8	4	20%	4	2	1	0	3	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-5	0%	−0.8

Noah Clowney #21 · F-C · 6'10" 210 · 22	21.5	9	113%	3	1	1	0	0	6	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	+6.2
Mikel Brown Jr. #0 · G · 6'5" 180 · 21	19.8	6	38%	3	3	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-1	100%	1-5	20%	1-3	33%	+1.5
Moritz Wagner #13 · F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29	15.8	7	70%	0	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	+1.4
Nolan Traore #10 · G · 6'3" 185 · 20	15.5	3	25%	2	0	0	0	2	1	2	0	3-4	75%	0-4	0%	0-0	-	−1.7
Chaney Johnson #31 · G-F · 6'7" 220 · 24	5.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	−2.6
Terance Mann #14 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30	DNP
Danny Wolf #2 · F · 6'11" 250 · 22	DNP
Drake Powell #4 · G-F · 6'5" 195 · 21	DNP
Josh Minott #00 · F · 6'8" 205 · 24	DNP
Ben Saraf #77 · G · 6'6" 200 · 21	DNP
Tyler Bilodeau #34 · F · 6'8" 228 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Shoulder Sprain
Grant Nelson #16 · F · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Not On Report
Joshua Jefferson #9 · F · 6'8" 246 · 23	Inactive - Not On Report
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	57%	38	22	7	4	22	25	11	27	19-25	76%	24-49	49%	12-31	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	BKN
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	BKN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.05 52.4%

BKN

1.13 56.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

74%

BKN

53%

Midrange

CHA

41%

BKN

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

22.5

31%

47%

BKN

18.0

39%

58%

Free Throws

CHA

87%

BKN

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Allen	21	95%	10.5 / 11
N. Reid	20	53%	10.0 / 19
D. Schröder	19	63%	9.5 / 15
B. Miller	18	41%	9.0 / 22
M. Diabaté	17	71%	8.5 / 12
R. O'Neale	8	67%	4.0 / 6
R. Kalkbrenner	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. James	3	21%	1.5 / 7
C. Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 3
L. McNeeley	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Randle	33	72%	16.5 / 23
M. Porter	26	62%	13.0 / 21
N. Clowney	9	113%	4.5 / 4
D. Sharpe	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Ellis	7	50%	3.5 / 7
M. Wagner	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Brown	6	38%	3.0 / 8
E. Dëmin	4	20%	2.0 / 10
N. Traore	3	25%	1.5 / 6
C. Johnson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 102.1 28 105.6	CHA 107.8 +5.9 BKN 102.0
Pace	28 96.8 20 100.0	CHA 97.3 BKN 106.2 +8.9
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.6 16 14.4	CHA 14.8 BKN 13.6 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 47.9% 26 51.3%	CHA 52.2% BKN 52.5% +0.3%
TO %	30 18.2% 27 16.8%	CHA 17.4% −2.1% BKN 19.5%
ORB %	3 32.4% 20 25.5%	CHA 35.7% +8.2% BKN 27.5%
FTrt	29 21.3 5 33.5	CHA 16.1 BKN 31.3 +15.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 61.5% 18 65.2%	CHA 61.0% BKN 61.1% +0.1%
STL %	24 7.4% 11 8.7%	CHA 8.8% +1.9% BKN 6.9%
BLK %	18 9.9% 12 10.7%	CHA 10.2% +1.3% BKN 8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 50.2% 25 53.6%	CHA 52.4% BKN 56.6% +4.2%
Rim FG%	26 60.7% 29 57.9%	CHA 73.9% +20.6% BKN 53.3%
Mid FG%	29 36.5% 23 39.9%	CHA 40.9% BKN 42.1% +1.2%
3P %	28 30.8% 19 34.4%	CHA 31.3% BKN 38.7% +7.4%
FT %	4 82.4% 23 75.4%	CHA 86.7% +10.7% BKN 76.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 26.8% 14 31.9%	CHA 24.7% BKN 37.5% +12.8%
Mid Att. %	8 22.0% 4 20.1%	CHA 23.7% −0.1% BKN 23.8%
3P Att. %	1 51.2% 4 48.0%	CHA 51.6% +12.9% BKN 38.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.27 and 2.27.

Game Totals	CHA	BKN
Possessions	102	101
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	110	103
Rebounds	44	38
Assists	25	22
Steals	9	7
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	20 (1)	22 (0)
Fouls	23	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (8)	11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (6)	27 (5)
Field Goals	41-93	36-80
At-the-Rim FG	17-23	16-30
Midrange FG	9-22	8-19
2-Point FG	26-45	24-49
3-Point FG	15-48	12-31
Free Throws	13-15	19-25
Fast Break Pts	12	8
2nd Chance Pts	20	8
Points in Paint	48	44
Pts off Turnovers	21	26
Bench Points	33	25
Biggest Lead	10	7

	PHI	127 ◀
	CHI	121

	LAL	121 ◀
	DET	116

	BOS	117 ◀
	MIL	97

	NOP	123
	LAC	139 ◀

	MIA	114 ◀
	SAC	108

	BKN	93
	DAL	130 ◀

	WAS	111
	DET	122 ◀

	MEM	118 ◀
	TOR	102

	IND	122
	DAL	125 ◀

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg