Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, October 23, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Hawks	51%	118	128	128.0	100	109.4
	12	Hornets	49%	117	81	81.0	100	92.1

Prediction updated:

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+21

-12

109

CHA

+20

-25

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.16 58.2%

CHA

0.85 42.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 25	28.5	19	59%	7	8	3	1	3	2	1	6	1-1	100%	9-13	69%	0-3	0%	+11.1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	27.4	14	54%	3	5	2	0	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%	+7.4
Dyson Daniels #5 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	23.5	11	50%	9	4	7	1	0	2	5	4	1-3	33%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%	+15.5
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	21.7	13	59%	1	2	0	1	0	2	0	1	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%	+5.7
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 26	21.7	10	63%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	+4.4

Kingston Flemings #4 · G · 6'3" 183 · 20	24.8	5	50%	6	8	1	0	3	4	4	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%	+5.1
Aaron Wiggins #2 · G · 6'5" 190 · 28	21.5	19	86%	1	1	2	0	1	1	0	1	2-4	50%	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	+9.9
Luguentz Dort #0 · G · 6'4" 220 · 28	18.7	9	64%	5	2	1	0	1	2	0	5	4-5	80%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	+5.2
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 31	18.2	8	44%	6	4	1	1	0	1	1	5	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%	+6.5
Corey Kispert #24 · F · 6'6" 224 · 28	9.7	11	110%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	+5.7
Dorian Finney-Smith #8 · F · 6'7" 220 · 33	8.1	3	75%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%	+1.2
Asa Newell #14 · F · 6'10" 220 · 21	8.1	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-2	0%	0-0	-	1-2	50%	+1.2
Zuby Ejiofor #20 · F-C · 6'8" 245 · 23	8.1	3	50%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	+0.2
RayJ Dennis #0 · G · 6'1" 180 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Wilson #22 · F · 6'6" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keshon Gilbert #51 · G · 6'4" 200 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · F · 6'11" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Foot Fracture
Henri Veesaar #13 · C · 6'11" 227 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right ACL Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	58%	48	37	17	7	12	21	12	36	14-22	64%	30-50	60%	18-45	40%

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18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 25	28.5	19	59%	7	8	3	1	3	2	1	6	1-1	100%	9-13	69%	0-3	0%	+11.1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	27.4	14	54%	3	5	2	0	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%	+7.4
Dyson Daniels #5 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	23.5	11	50%	9	4	7	1	0	2	5	4	1-3	33%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%	+15.5
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	21.7	13	59%	1	2	0	1	0	2	0	1	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%	+5.7
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 26	21.7	10	63%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	+4.4

Kingston Flemings #4 · G · 6'3" 183 · 20	24.8	5	50%	6	8	1	0	3	4	4	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%	+5.1
Aaron Wiggins #2 · G · 6'5" 190 · 28	21.5	19	86%	1	1	2	0	1	1	0	1	2-4	50%	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	+9.9
Luguentz Dort #0 · G · 6'4" 220 · 28	18.7	9	64%	5	2	1	0	1	2	0	5	4-5	80%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	+5.2
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 31	18.2	8	44%	6	4	1	1	0	1	1	5	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%	+6.5
Corey Kispert #24 · F · 6'6" 224 · 28	9.7	11	110%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	+5.7
Dorian Finney-Smith #8 · F · 6'7" 220 · 33	8.1	3	75%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%	+1.2
Asa Newell #14 · F · 6'10" 220 · 21	8.1	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-2	0%	0-0	-	1-2	50%	+1.2
Zuby Ejiofor #20 · F-C · 6'8" 245 · 23	8.1	3	50%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	+0.2
RayJ Dennis #0 · G · 6'1" 180 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Wilson #22 · F · 6'6" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keshon Gilbert #51 · G · 6'4" 200 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · F · 6'11" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Foot Fracture
Henri Veesaar #13 · C · 6'11" 227 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right ACL Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	58%	48	37	17	7	12	21	12	36	14-22	64%	30-50	60%	18-45	40%

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12 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Naz Reid #0 · PF · 6'9" 264 · 27	24.9	17	53%	6	2	1	0	7	1	1	5	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-8	38%	+1.3
Sion James #4 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 24	23.7	3	21%	2	5	0	0	1	4	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%	+1.8
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 24	22.5	6	21%	2	0	2	1	2	2	1	1	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-11	9%	+0.7
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 25	20.9	5	83%	8	1	1	1	1	0	4	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-	+5.5
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	20.1	4	33%	4	3	0	1	4	2	0	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%	−0.8

Tidjane Salaün #31 · F · 6'10" 207 · 21	23.1	11	61%	5	1	2	0	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	+6.9
Grayson Allen #8 · G · 6'3" 198 · 31	19.6	11	61%	2	3	0	0	2	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	+3.9
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 25	19.1	6	75%	7	1	0	2	1	1	4	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-	+4.5
Royce O'Neale #00 · F · 6'6" 226 · 33	16.6	6	50%	2	0	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%	+3.5
Christian Anderson #5 · G · 6'1" 180 · 21	15.7	2	20%	0	2	0	1	3	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	−1.8
Liam McNeeley #33 · F · 6'7" 210 · 21	12.0	4	33%	4	0	0	0	3	2	1	3	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	−1.4
Hannes Steinbach #22 · F-C · 6'10" 248 · 20	12.0	6	60%	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	0-0	-	+2.4
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 25	9.7	0	0%	1	3	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%	+1.6
Michael Ajayi #10 · G · 6'7" 235 · 23	DNP
Kon Knueppel #7 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hamstring Strain
Grant Williams #2 · F · 6'7" 236 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Hamstring Strain
Coby White #3 · G · 6'4" 210 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Calf Strain
Kylan Boswell G · 6'2" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	81	43%	48	21	7	4	25	18	19	29	10-12	83%	19-36	53%	11-51	22%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	CHA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.16 58.2%

CHA

0.85 42.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

61%

CHA

75%

Midrange

ATL

57%

CHA

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

27.0

40%

60%

CHA

16.5

22%

32%

Free Throws

ATL

64%

CHA

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	19	59%	9.5 / 16
A. Wiggins	19	86%	9.5 / 11
N. Alexander-Walker	14	54%	7.0 / 13
C. McCollum	13	59%	6.5 / 11
D. Daniels	11	50%	5.5 / 11
C. Kispert	11	110%	5.5 / 5
O. Okongwu	10	63%	5.0 / 8
L. Dort	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Landale	8	44%	4.0 / 9
K. Flemings	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Finney-Smith	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Newell	3	50%	1.5 / 3
Z. Ejiofor	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Reid	17	53%	8.5 / 16
T. Salaün	11	61%	5.5 / 9
G. Allen	11	61%	5.5 / 9
B. Miller	6	21%	3.0 / 14
R. Kalkbrenner	6	75%	3.0 / 4
R. O'Neale	6	50%	3.0 / 6
H. Steinbach	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Diabaté	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Schröder	4	33%	2.0 / 6
L. McNeeley	4	33%	2.0 / 6
S. James	3	21%	1.5 / 7
C. Anderson	2	20%	1.0 / 5
P. Hall	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 114.4 30 102.0	ATL 128.0 +47.0 CHA 81.0
Pace	2 103.3 28 96.7	ATL 109.4 +17.4 CHA 92.1
Avg. Poss. Time	30 12.9 2 15.6	ATL 13.2 −2.5 CHA 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 53.3% 30 48.1%	ATL 60.0% +19.2% CHA 40.8%
TO %	14 14.4% 30 18.9%	ATL 11.0% −11.6% CHA 22.6%
ORB %	11 29.2% 1 32.9%	ATL 29.3% CHA 34.5% +5.2%
FTrt	30 21.2 29 21.6	ATL 23.2 +9.4 CHA 13.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 72.5% 25 62.4%	ATL 77.1% +7.1% CHA 70.0%
STL %	4 9.7% 26 7.1%	ATL 17.0% +10.0% CHA 7.0%
BLK %	12 10.9% 19 9.7%	ATL 19.4% +11.4% CHA 8.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 55.2% 30 50.4%	ATL 58.2% +15.6% CHA 42.6%
Rim FG%	19 61.5% 25 60.9%	ATL 61.1% CHA 75.0% +13.9%
Mid FG%	17 42.1% 29 36.1%	ATL 57.1% +32.1% CHA 25.0%
3P %	15 35.2% 28 31.1%	ATL 40.0% +18.4% CHA 21.6%
FT %	23 76.3% 4 82.1%	ATL 63.6% CHA 83.3% +19.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 32.8% 27 26.6%	ATL 37.9% +14.9% CHA 23.0%
Mid Att. %	8 22.0% 9 22.4%	ATL 14.7% −3.7% CHA 18.4%
3P Att. %	11 45.2% 2 51.0%	ATL 47.4% CHA 58.6% +11.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.

Game Totals	ATL	CHA
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	21.9	26.1
Points	128	81
Rebounds	48	48
Assists	37	21
Steals	17	7
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	25 (2)
Fouls	21	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (9)	19 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	29 (3)
Field Goals	48-95	30-87
At-the-Rim FG	22-36	15-20
Midrange FG	8-14	4-16
2-Point FG	30-50	19-36
3-Point FG	18-45	11-51
Free Throws	14-22	10-12
Fast Break Pts	19	6
2nd Chance Pts	21	8
Points in Paint	54	34
Pts off Turnovers	25	15
Bench Points	61	46
Biggest Lead	49	2

	MIL	85
	NYK	117 ◀

	BOS	123 ◀
	PHI	101

	LAC	110
	PHX	133 ◀

	MIA	115 ◀
	UTA	109

	ORL	107 ◀
	SAC	100

	OKC	103
	POR	123 ◀

	WAS	101
	IND	114 ◀

	SAS	124 ◀
	CHI	119

	BKN	145 ◀
	NOP	111

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg