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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 3, 2015
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Thunder54%10795
13Heat46%10597
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.1
34.5
33.2
25
57%
5
6
1
2
0
7
1
4
9-9
100%
8-15
7-14
53%
47%
0-3
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.2
34.3
36.3
25
52%
9
6
1
1
0
5
0
9
5-7
71%
7-14
6-12
50%
53%
2-7
29%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
33.3
32.4
9
41%
7
0
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-10
5-10
30%
52%
1-1
100%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
30.2
21.3
2
33%
9
0
1
1
1
0
3
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.4
20.2
19.4
9
78%
8
0
0
0
0
1
3
5
3-4
75%
3-4
2-3
75%
54%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
26.7
28.6
13
72%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
43%
1-2
50%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.5
21.4
17.3
10
74%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
15.4
18.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.1
13.6
16.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.1
10.3
12.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.6
0.3
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-0
-
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.3
1.6
0
0-0
41%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.5
0.9
0
0-0
25%
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.5
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.6
36.5
30.9
14
64%
3
7
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
53%
2-2
100%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.7
34.9
34.2
16
45%
8
2
2
1
0
0
1
7
1-2
50%
6-12
5-10
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.9
33.1
29.1
28
56%
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
6-9
67%
11-21
7-15
52%
50%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.5
28.7
27.2
11
62%
8
0
0
1
2
2
1
7
1-2
50%
5-8
5-9
63%
59%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.9
28.1
29.4
5
25%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
0-2
0%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.7
33.5
29.2
2
26%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-2
0%
1-1
2-5
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.8
18.9
20.8
12
76%
3
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-5
1-2
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.6
17.9
19.8
8
63%
1
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
2-3
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.2
8.3
2.4
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.4
3.7
0
1-1
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.5
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.4
2.5
0
0-0
59%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.0
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.9
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.