Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, December 3, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Thunder | 54% | 107 | 95 | |
16 | Heat | 46% | 105 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nuggets | 106 | |||
8 | Raptors | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Magic | 31% | 98 | 103 | |
13 | Jazz | 69% | 105 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 103 | |||
9 | Grizzlies | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Pacers | 54% | 105 | 111 | |
21 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 104 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Celtics | 114 | |||
19 | Kings | 97 |
Wednesday, December 2, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 116 | |||
13 | Hornets | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 27% | 103 | 108 | |
18 | Wizards | 73% | 111 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Suns | 122 | |||
17 | Pistons | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 30% | 97 | 87 | |
24 | Knicks | 70% | 105 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Raptors | 96 | |||
7 | Hawks | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nuggets | 28% | 99 | 90 | |
14 | Bulls | 72% | 107 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pelicans | 101 | |||
6 | Rockets | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bucks | 14% | 91 | 70 | |
2 | Spurs | 86% | 106 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Pacers | 103 | |||
5 | Clippers | 91 |
Tuesday, December 1, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Wizards | 97 | |||
3 | Cavaliers | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 51% | 105 | 91 | |
30 | 76ers | 49% | 104 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Suns | 91 | |||
26 | Nets | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Magic | 45% | 104 | 96 | |
22 | Timberwolves | 55% | 106 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Grizzlies | 113 | |||
21 | Pelicans | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Mavericks | 49% | 106 | 115 | |
19 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 107 | 112 |
Monday, November 30, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 105 | |||
17 | Pistons | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Celtics | 39% | 102 | 105 | |
16 | Heat | 61% | 106 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 100 | |||
8 | Hawks | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 61% | 102 | 89 | |
14 | Bulls | 39% | 98 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nuggets | 74 | |||
28 | Bucks | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 65% | 105 | 106 | |
15 | Jazz | 35% | 100 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Mavericks | 98 | |||
19 | Kings | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 105 | 87 | |
4 | Clippers | 67% | 111 | 102 |
Sunday, November 29, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Bucks | 82 | |||
12 | Hornets | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Timberwolves | 21% | 103 | 99 | |
4 | Clippers | 79% | 114 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 83 | |||
27 | Nets | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Celtics | 60% | 108 | 91 | |
25 | Magic | 40% | 104 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Suns | 107 | |||
7 | Raptors | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 21% | 94 | 84 | |
8 | Grizzlies | 79% | 105 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Rockets | 116 | |||
23 | Knicks | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Pacers | 74% | 110 | 107 | |
28 | Lakers | 26% | 101 | 103 |
Saturday, November 28, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Raptors | 60% | 107 | 84 | |
20 | Wizards | 40% | 104 | 82 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Nets | 88 | |||
3 | Cavaliers | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nuggets | 20% | 102 | 81 | |
11 | Mavericks | 80% | 113 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Hawks | 88 | |||
2 | Spurs | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pelicans | 32% | 102 | 87 | |
15 | Jazz | 68% | 108 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Lakers | 96 | |||
17 | Trail Blazers | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Kings | 13% | 102 | 101 | |
1 | Warriors | 87% | 118 | 120 |
Friday, November 27, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 54% | 107 | 95 | |
12 | Hornets | 46% | 106 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bucks | 90 | |||
26 | Magic | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Wizards | 41% | 107 | 78 | |
13 | Celtics | 59% | 110 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 97 | |||
23 | Knicks | 78 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bulls | 39% | 101 | 92 | |
10 | Pacers | 61% | 105 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 114 | |||
8 | Rockets | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Hawks | 41% | 101 | 116 | |
6 | Grizzlies | 59% | 104 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 87 | |||
5 | Thunder | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 77% | 109 | 91 | |
25 | Nuggets | 23% | 99 | 80 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 135 | |||
22 | Suns | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Timberwolves | 40% | 107 | 101 | |
19 | Kings | 60% | 111 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 90 | |||
4 | Clippers | 111 |
Wednesday, November 25, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Wizards | 34% | 105 | 87 | |
11 | Hornets | 66% | 110 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Knicks | 91 | |||
26 | Magic | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 24% | 99 | 80 | |
13 | Celtics | 76% | 109 | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 81 | |||
19 | Pistons | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 51% | 106 | 99 | |
6 | Raptors | 49% | 105 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Grizzlies | 102 | |||
7 | Rockets | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 54% | 106 | 129 | |
27 | Bucks | 46% | 105 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Hawks | 95 | |||
24 | Timberwolves | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | 23% | 104 | 99 | |
5 | Thunder | 77% | 114 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 83 | |||
2 | Spurs | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 45% | 110 | 120 | |
22 | Suns | 55% | 112 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Jazz | 102 | |||
4 | Clippers | 91 |
Tuesday, November 24, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | 47% | 104 | 123 | |
18 | Wizards | 53% | 105 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Celtics | 97 | |||
13 | Hawks | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Mavericks | 45% | 103 | 96 | |
10 | Grizzlies | 55% | 105 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 111 | |||
25 | Nuggets | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Bulls | 49% | 104 | 93 | |
17 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 105 | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Lakers | 77 | |||
1 | Warriors | 111 |
Monday, November 23, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Kings | 122 | |||
10 | Hornets | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Magic | 21% | 99 | 103 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 79% | 110 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Knicks | 78 | |||
16 | Heat | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 60% | 104 | 88 | |
29 | Bucks | 40% | 100 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 95 | |||
24 | Timberwolves | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Suns | 13% | 96 | 84 | |
2 | Spurs | 87% | 111 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 111 | |||
14 | Jazz | 89 |
Sunday, November 22, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Raptors | 91 | |||
4 | Clippers | 80 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Celtics | 68% | 111 | 101 | |
29 | Nets | 32% | 104 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Suns | 116 | |||
22 | Pelicans | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Mavericks | 48% | 110 | 114 | |
5 | Thunder | 52% | 111 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 118 | |||
25 | Nuggets | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 108 | 107 | |
27 | Lakers | 47% | 107 | 93 |
Saturday, November 21, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Kings | 49% | 107 | 97 | |
26 | Magic | 51% | 108 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Bucks | 86 | |||
13 | Pacers | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Hawks | 34% | 103 | 97 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 66% | 109 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Wizards | 97 | |||
17 | Pistons | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 14% | 94 | 91 | |
16 | Heat | 86% | 109 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Knicks | 107 | |||
6 | Rockets | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Grizzlies | 23% | 94 | 82 | |
2 | Spurs | 77% | 104 | 92 |
Friday, November 20, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 88 | |||
12 | Hornets | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Nets | 23% | 102 | 95 | |
8 | Celtics | 77% | 112 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 84 | |||
10 | Grizzlies | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pistons | 51% | 107 | 96 | |
22 | Timberwolves | 49% | 106 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 90 | |||
23 | Pelicans | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Knicks | 35% | 106 | 93 | |
5 | Thunder | 65% | 111 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Jazz | 93 | |||
9 | Mavericks | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Suns | 53% | 108 | 114 | |
25 | Nuggets | 47% | 107 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 91 | |||
19 | Trail Blazers | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bulls | 23% | 101 | 94 | |
1 | Warriors | 77% | 111 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Raptors | 102 | |||
27 | Lakers | 91 |