Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Nuggets	49%	103	74	81.3	91	92.0
	27	Bucks	51%	104	92	102.2	90	89.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 27	34.4	13	65%	4	3	1	1	4	2	0	4	5-5	100%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Emmanuel Mudiay G · 6'3" 200 · 20	28.5	10	38%	1	4	1	0	5	2	0	1	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jokić C · 6'11" 284 · 21	25.4	8	50%	6	2	0	2	1	1	1	5	0-2	0%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 32	24.1	5	31%	7	1	0	1	3	1	3	4	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	1-3	33%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 26	22.7	11	61%	7	1	0	0	2	2	2	5	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25	29.5	10	63%	6	1	0	0	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-2	100%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 34	24.7	6	43%	1	4	2	0	2	5	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 28	20.9	4	40%	3	0	2	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Joffrey Lauvergne C · 6'11" 260 · 24	19.1	7	35%	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	4	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Kostas Papanikolaou F · 6'8" 235 · 25	9.6	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36	1.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 21	\| DND - Concussion
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Wilson Chandler #21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jusuf Nurkić #23 · C · 6'11" 290 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	74	43%	43	19	6	4	22	0	10	33	12-16	75%	22-56	39%	6-19	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 27	34.4	13	65%	4	3	1	1	4	2	0	4	5-5	100%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Emmanuel Mudiay G · 6'3" 200 · 20	28.5	10	38%	1	4	1	0	5	2	0	1	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jokić C · 6'11" 284 · 21	25.4	8	50%	6	2	0	2	1	1	1	5	0-2	0%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 32	24.1	5	31%	7	1	0	1	3	1	3	4	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	1-3	33%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 26	22.7	11	61%	7	1	0	0	2	2	2	5	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25	29.5	10	63%	6	1	0	0	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-2	100%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 34	24.7	6	43%	1	4	2	0	2	5	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 28	20.9	4	40%	3	0	2	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Joffrey Lauvergne C · 6'11" 260 · 24	19.1	7	35%	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	4	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Kostas Papanikolaou F · 6'8" 235 · 25	9.6	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36	1.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 21	\| DND - Concussion
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Wilson Chandler #21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jusuf Nurkić #23 · C · 6'11" 290 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	74	43%	43	19	6	4	22	0	10	33	12-16	75%	22-56	39%	6-19	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

27 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 27	32.5	7	50%	1	4	1	0	3	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
O.J. Mayo G · 6'5" 210 · 28	30.9	9	56%	4	1	2	0	2	4	0	4	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Khris Middleton F · 6'7" 222 · 24	30.9	10	56%	1	5	0	0	2	2	0	1	1-1	100%	0-4	0%	3-5	60%
Greg Monroe C · 6'11" 265 · 25	25.0	18	75%	5	2	1	2	0	1	2	3	2-2	100%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Giannis Antetokounmpo F · 6'11" 243 · 21	19.9	9	38%	6	0	0	1	2	3	2	4	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%

Michael Carter-Williams G · 6'6" 190 · 24	30.2	12	60%	6	9	3	3	2	4	1	5	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Jabari Parker F · 6'8" 250 · 21	25.8	16	53%	4	1	2	2	0	1	0	4	4-4	100%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 25	23.3	8	44%	7	2	1	3	1	2	2	5	0-4	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Rashad Vaughn G · 6'6" 202 · 19	7.4	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Tyler Ennis G · 6'3" 194 · 21	3.5	1	25%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Johnny O'Bryant III F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22	3.5	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Chris Copeland F · 6'9" 239 · 32	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Miles Plumlee C · 6'11" 249 · 27	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Damien Inglis #17 · F · 6'8" 246 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Greivis Vasquez #21 · G · 6'6" 217 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	52%	38	25	10	12	13	0	8	30	16-22	73%	29-59	49%	6-18	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.86 43.0%

MIL

1.03 51.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

15

33

45%

MIL

23

39

59%

Midrange

DEN

7

23

30%

MIL

6

20

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

6

9.0

19

32%

47%

MIL

6

9.0

18

33%

50%

Free Throws

DEN

12

16

75%

MIL

16

22

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari	13	65%	6.5 / 10
K. Faried	11	61%	5.5 / 9
E. Mudiay	10	38%	5.0 / 13
W. Barton	10	63%	5.0 / 8
N. Jokić	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Lauvergne	7	35%	3.5 / 10
J. Nelson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
R. Foye	5	31%	2.5 / 8
D. Arthur	4	40%	2.0 / 5
K. Papanikolaou	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Monroe	18	75%	9.0 / 12
J. Parker	16	53%	8.0 / 15
M. Carter-Williams	12	60%	6.0 / 10
K. Middleton	10	56%	5.0 / 9
O. Mayo	9	56%	4.5 / 8
G. Antetokounmpo	9	38%	4.5 / 12
J. Henson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Bayless	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. O'Bryant III	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Ennis	1	25%	0.5 / 2
R. Vaughn	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 106.2 26 104.5	DEN 81.3 MIL 102.2 +20.9
Pace	19 95.3 23 94.1	DEN 92.0 +2.9 MIL 89.1
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.9 15 15.0	DEN 15.7 −0.5 MIL 16.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 48.9% 17 49.9%	DEN 41.3% MIL 49.4% +8.1%
TO %	19 14.8% 25 15.4%	DEN 22.6% MIL 13.0% −9.6%
ORB %	5 25.8% 11 25.0%	DEN 25.0% +5.5% MIL 19.5%
FTrt	12 28.2 14 27.6	DEN 21.3 MIL 28.6 +7.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 60.1% 8 60.3%	DEN 67.9% MIL 71.4% +3.5%
STL %	20 7.7% 10 8.6%	DEN 6.6% MIL 11.1% +4.5%
BLK %	17 8.1% 2 10.2%	DEN 6.8% MIL 21.4% +14.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 51.7% 18 52.3%	DEN 43.0% MIL 51.7% +8.7%
Rim FG%	27 54.8% 15 57.9%	DEN 45.5% MIL 59.0% +13.5%
Mid FG%	25 38.8% 22 39.0%	DEN 30.4% +0.4% MIL 30.0%
3P %	26 33.8% 21 34.5%	DEN 31.6% MIL 33.3% +1.7%
FT %	14 76.6% 22 74.7%	DEN 75.0% +2.3% MIL 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 42.5% 1 45.2%	DEN 44.0% MIL 50.6% +6.6%
Mid Att. %	5 29.8% 17 35.9%	DEN 30.7% MIL 26.0% −4.7%
3P Att. %	17 27.7% 30 18.9%	DEN 25.3% +2.0% MIL 23.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.

Game Totals	DEN	MIL
Possessions	91	90
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.3
Points	74	92
Rebounds	43	38
Assists	19	25
Steals	6	10
Blocks	4	12
Turnovers (Team)	22 (2)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (7)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	30 (1)
Field Goals	28-75	35-77
At-the-Rim FG	15-33	23-39
Midrange FG	7-23	6-20
2-Point FG	22-56	29-59
3-Point FG	6-19	6-18
Free Throws	12-16	16-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg