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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 25, 2015
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Mavericks20%9983
2Spurs80%11188
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.4
37.2
21.2
5
36%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
42%
1-2
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.4
36.4
32.5
8
25%
5
9
3
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-14
3-7
29%
41%
0-2
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.1
36.1
30.3
15
47%
4
1
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
3-10
30%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.4
35.4
29.7
13
70%
14
2
1
1
0
1
2
12
3-3
100%
5-7
4-9
71%
46%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.8
20.8
30.2
4
41%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
43%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.7
15.9
20.9
11
87%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
3-3
2-4
100%
46%
1-2
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.8
15.8
5.7
9
51%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
4-8
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.4
12.6
21.5
7
50%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-6
33%
43%
1-1
100%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.4
12.1
19.6
4
67%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.3
11.9
8.7
6
43%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-3
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.0
5.8
3.9
1
17%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.7
4.9
0
0-1
47%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.1
3.2
0
0-1
52%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.4
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
40.4
36.2
26
73%
8
5
2
2
0
2
4
4
4-4
100%
5-9
7-13
56%
55%
4-7
57%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.5
35.5
30.2
16
67%
8
8
0
1
0
1
0
8
2-2
100%
7-11
6-11
64%
52%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
34.6
30.8
18
49%
7
1
0
1
1
1
5
2
2-3
67%
8-17
7-14
47%
48%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.6
28.1
28.4
2
25%
9
4
0
1
2
2
1
8
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
25.5
30.6
6
33%
6
1
1
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
2-7
29%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.3
28.5
20.5
9
29%
5
3
1
1
0
4
0
5
5-8
63%
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
0-6
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.3
16.9
24.1
3
21%
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-5
20%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.2
11.7
18.2
8
103%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
3-5
100%
50%
1-1
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.6
10.2
16.3
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
53%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.5
6.6
6.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
1.9
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.2
4.9
0
0-1
48%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
2.5
0
0-1
48%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.3
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.