Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, December 2, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Hornets | 33% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Lakers | 27% | 103 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Pistons | 69% | 110 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Knicks | 70% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Raptors | 41% | 102 | 96 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Bulls | 72% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Pelicans | 30% | 108 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bucks | 14% | 91 | 70 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, December 1, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 26% | 102 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 51% | 105 | 91 |
| 30 | 76ers | 49% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Suns | 49% | 107 | 91 |
 | 24 | Nets | 51% | 108 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Magic | 45% | 105 | 96 |
 | 23 | Timberwolves | 55% | 106 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Pelicans | 46% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Mavericks | 51% | 107 | 115 |
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Monday, November 30, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 49% | 106 | 105 |
| 18 | Pistons | 51% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Celtics | 39% | 102 | 105 |
 | 14 | Heat | 61% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Thunder | 49% | 108 | 100 |
| 10 | Hawks | 51% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 62% | 102 | 89 |
| 16 | Bulls | 38% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 49% | 103 | 74 |
| 27 | Bucks | 51% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 65% | 105 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 56% | 111 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 105 | 87 |
| 5 | Clippers | 67% | 111 | 102 |
Sunday, November 29, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 26% | 98 | 82 |
| 12 | Hornets | 74% | 107 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 21% | 103 | 99 |
| 5 | Clippers | 79% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 59% | 107 | 83 |
| 24 | Nets | 41% | 103 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 60% | 108 | 91 |
| 25 | Magic | 40% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Suns | 32% | 103 | 107 |
| 9 | Raptors | 68% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 21% | 94 | 84 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 79% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 56% | 107 | 116 |
| 22 | Knicks | 44% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pacers | 75% | 110 | 107 |
| 29 | Lakers | 25% | 101 | 103 |
Saturday, November 28, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 59% | 107 | 84 |
| 19 | Wizards | 41% | 104 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 20% | 100 | 88 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 80% | 112 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nuggets | 20% | 102 | 81 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 80% | 113 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 27% | 97 | 88 |
| 2 | Spurs | 73% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 32% | 102 | 87 |
| 14 | Jazz | 68% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 29% | 102 | 96 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 71% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 13% | 102 | 101 |
| 1 | Warriors | 87% | 118 | 120 |
Friday, November 27, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 54% | 107 | 95 |
| 11 | Hornets | 46% | 106 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 43% | 101 | 90 |
| 25 | Magic | 57% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 41% | 107 | 78 |
| 14 | Celtics | 59% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 49% | 102 | 97 |
| 23 | Knicks | 51% | 103 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 39% | 102 | 92 |
| 10 | Pacers | 61% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 20% | 98 | 114 |
| 9 | Rockets | 80% | 109 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 41% | 100 | 116 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 59% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 29% | 105 | 87 |
| 5 | Thunder | 71% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 78% | 109 | 91 |
| 27 | Nuggets | 22% | 99 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 72% | 113 | 135 |
| 21 | Suns | 28% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 39% | 108 | 101 |
| 20 | Kings | 61% | 111 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 30% | 109 | 90 |
| 4 | Clippers | 70% | 117 | 111 |
Wednesday, November 25, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 34% | 104 | 87 |
| 12 | Hornets | 66% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 54% | 105 | 91 |
| 28 | Magic | 46% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 23% | 99 | 80 |
| 15 | Celtics | 77% | 109 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 55% | 103 | 81 |
| 23 | Pistons | 45% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 49% | 105 | 99 |
| 6 | Raptors | 51% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 40% | 102 | 102 |
| 10 | Rockets | 60% | 106 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 54% | 106 | 129 |
| 25 | Bucks | 46% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 53% | 107 | 95 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 47% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 23% | 104 | 99 |
| 5 | Thunder | 77% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 20% | 99 | 83 |
| 2 | Spurs | 80% | 111 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 45% | 110 | 120 |
| 21 | Suns | 55% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 36% | 102 | 102 |
| 4 | Clippers | 64% | 107 | 91 |
Tuesday, November 24, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 47% | 104 | 123 |
| 17 | Wizards | 53% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 43% | 106 | 97 |
| 9 | Hawks | 57% | 108 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 46% | 103 | 96 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 54% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 66% | 113 | 111 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 34% | 107 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 48% | 104 | 93 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 105 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 12% | 101 | 77 |
| 1 | Warriors | 88% | 117 | 111 |
Monday, November 23, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 36% | 106 | 122 |
| 13 | Hornets | 64% | 110 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 21% | 99 | 103 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 79% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 34% | 101 | 78 |
| 14 | Heat | 66% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 60% | 104 | 88 |
| 29 | Bucks | 40% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 29% | 99 | 95 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 71% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Suns | 12% | 96 | 84 |
| 2 | Spurs | 88% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 41% | 103 | 111 |
| 11 | Jazz | 59% | 107 | 89 |
Sunday, November 22, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 38% | 107 | 91 |
| 4 | Clippers | 62% | 111 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 67% | 111 | 101 |
| 29 | Nets | 33% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 48% | 110 | 116 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 52% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 48% | 110 | 114 |
| 14 | Thunder | 52% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 79% | 114 | 118 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 21% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 108 | 107 |
| 26 | Lakers | 47% | 107 | 93 |
Saturday, November 21, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 49% | 107 | 97 |
| 28 | Magic | 51% | 108 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 30% | 96 | 86 |
| 15 | Pacers | 70% | 104 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 33% | 103 | 97 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 67% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 47% | 106 | 97 |
| 18 | Pistons | 53% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 14% | 94 | 91 |
| 13 | Heat | 86% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 30% | 103 | 107 |
| 6 | Rockets | 70% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 24% | 95 | 82 |
| 2 | Spurs | 76% | 104 | 92 |
Friday, November 20, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 19% | 96 | 88 |
| 12 | Hornets | 81% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 23% | 102 | 95 |
| 5 | Celtics | 77% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 47% | 104 | 84 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 53% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 51% | 107 | 96 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 49% | 106 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 75% | 111 | 90 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 25% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 35% | 106 | 93 |
| 14 | Thunder | 65% | 111 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 43% | 103 | 93 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 57% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 53% | 108 | 114 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 47% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 54% | 110 | 91 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 23% | 101 | 94 |
| 1 | Warriors | 77% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 62% | 110 | 102 |
| 24 | Lakers | 38% | 106 | 91 |
Thursday, November 19, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 31% | 103 | 109 |
| 14 | Heat | 69% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 18% | 97 | 100 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 82% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 65% | 113 | 124 |
| 6 | Clippers | 35% | 108 | 117 |