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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 28, 2015
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Nuggets20%10281
11Mavericks80%11392
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.2
37
18
5
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
42%
1-4
25%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.7
34
28
12
5
4
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-4
50%
5-12
4-10
42%
39%
0-3
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.3
34
34
12
9
1
1
1
1
3
1
8
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
44%
2-6
33%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
31
25
16
5
1
2
1
2
3
3
2
0-0
-
8-13
3-7
62%
43%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
19
17
8
6
0
1
1
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.9
30
26
14
8
3
1
1
1
2
1
7
2-2
100%
0-5
3-7
0%
47%
4-8
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.8
17
22
2
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.0
14
13
10
5
0
2
0
1
3
2
3
2-3
67%
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.8
13
13
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
8
5
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
2
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.2
28
1
2-5
46%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.2
16
0
3-5
49%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.4
31
33
22
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
46%
4-8
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.4
31
31
13
7
2
3
1
0
0
0
7
4-4
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.8
31
27
16
12
2
3
1
1
5
4
8
6-9
67%
5-8
3-6
63%
48%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.1
28
32
7
1
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
1-7
14%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.1
23
23
4
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
54%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.4
28
26
12
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-3
33%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.4
21
17
6
4
1
3
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
54%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.8
20
19
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.0
9
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-2
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.3
7
10
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.9
5
10
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.1
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
57%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.7
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.5
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.