Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, November 22, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Raptors | 91 | |||
4 | Clippers | 80 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Celtics | 68% | 111 | 101 | |
29 | Nets | 32% | 104 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Suns | 116 | |||
22 | Pelicans | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Mavericks | 48% | 110 | 114 | |
5 | Thunder | 52% | 111 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 118 | |||
25 | Nuggets | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 108 | 107 | |
27 | Lakers | 47% | 107 | 93 |
Saturday, November 21, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Kings | 49% | 107 | 97 | |
26 | Magic | 51% | 108 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Bucks | 86 | |||
13 | Pacers | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Hawks | 34% | 103 | 97 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 66% | 109 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Wizards | 97 | |||
17 | Pistons | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 14% | 94 | 91 | |
16 | Heat | 86% | 109 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Knicks | 107 | |||
6 | Rockets | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Grizzlies | 23% | 94 | 82 | |
2 | Spurs | 77% | 104 | 92 |
Friday, November 20, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 88 | |||
12 | Hornets | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Nets | 23% | 102 | 95 | |
8 | Celtics | 77% | 112 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 84 | |||
10 | Grizzlies | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pistons | 51% | 107 | 96 | |
22 | Timberwolves | 49% | 106 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 90 | |||
23 | Pelicans | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Knicks | 35% | 106 | 93 | |
5 | Thunder | 65% | 111 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Jazz | 93 | |||
9 | Mavericks | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Suns | 53% | 108 | 114 | |
25 | Nuggets | 47% | 107 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 91 | |||
19 | Trail Blazers | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bulls | 23% | 101 | 94 | |
1 | Warriors | 77% | 111 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Raptors | 102 | |||
27 | Lakers | 91 |
Thursday, November 19, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 30% | 103 | 109 | |
16 | Heat | 70% | 110 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Bucks | 100 | |||
3 | Cavaliers | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 65% | 113 | 124 | |
4 | Clippers | 35% | 108 | 117 |
Wednesday, November 18, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Nets | 26% | 99 | 111 | |
12 | Hornets | 74% | 108 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Timberwolves | 101 | |||
24 | Magic | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Pacers | 72% | 104 | 112 | |
30 | 76ers | 28% | 96 | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Mavericks | 106 | |||
8 | Celtics | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Kings | 37% | 106 | 97 | |
10 | Hawks | 63% | 110 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Trail Blazers | 103 | |||
6 | Rockets | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pelicans | 27% | 107 | 103 | |
5 | Thunder | 73% | 116 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nuggets | 98 | |||
2 | Spurs | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Raptors | 40% | 100 | 89 | |
13 | Jazz | 60% | 104 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bulls | 103 | |||
21 | Suns | 97 |
Tuesday, November 17, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bucks | 86 | |||
18 | Wizards | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Hawks | 67% | 109 | 88 | |
29 | Nets | 33% | 103 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 99 | |||
17 | Pistons | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Timberwolves | 32% | 101 | 103 | |
16 | Heat | 68% | 107 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Hornets | 94 | |||
25 | Knicks | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nuggets | 39% | 108 | 115 | |
22 | Pelicans | 61% | 112 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Raptors | 110 | |||
1 | Warriors | 115 |
Monday, November 16, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 92 | |||
30 | 76ers | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pacers | 46% | 102 | 95 | |
14 | Bulls | 54% | 104 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Celtics | 111 | |||
6 | Rockets | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 39% | 102 | 114 | |
8 | Grizzlies | 61% | 106 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Trail Blazers | 80 | |||
2 | Spurs | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Lakers | 30% | 103 | 101 | |
22 | Suns | 70% | 111 | 120 |
Sunday, November 15, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pelicans | 42% | 109 | 87 | |
25 | Knicks | 58% | 112 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Grizzlies | 114 | |||
23 | Timberwolves | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 103 | 94 | |
13 | Hornets | 62% | 108 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Jazz | 97 | |||
8 | Hawks | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Celtics | 43% | 110 | 100 | |
5 | Thunder | 57% | 112 | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Raptors | 101 | |||
20 | Kings | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pistons | 51% | 110 | 85 | |
26 | Lakers | 49% | 109 | 97 |
Saturday, November 14, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pistons | 96 | |||
4 | Clippers | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Magic | 36% | 104 | 99 | |
20 | Wizards | 64% | 109 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 110 | |||
5 | Rockets | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 67% | 107 | 105 | |
28 | Bucks | 33% | 100 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 83 | |||
2 | Spurs | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nuggets | 32% | 104 | 81 | |
21 | Suns | 68% | 111 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Nets | 99 | |||
1 | Warriors | 107 |
Friday, November 13, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Timberwolves | 22% | 99 | 103 | |
10 | Pacers | 78% | 109 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Jazz | 93 | |||
25 | Magic | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Hawks | 51% | 109 | 93 | |
15 | Celtics | 49% | 108 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 90 | |||
24 | Knicks | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pelicans | 30% | 106 | 81 | |
7 | Raptors | 70% | 113 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Hornets | 97 | |||
13 | Bulls | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 101 | 100 | |
9 | Grizzlies | 62% | 105 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 85 | |||
6 | Thunder | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Lakers | 28% | 108 | 82 | |
11 | Mavericks | 72% | 116 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | 98 | |||
26 | Nuggets | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Nets | 33% | 105 | 109 | |
20 | Kings | 67% | 111 | 111 |
Thursday, November 12, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Jazz | 91 | |||
12 | Heat | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 79% | 112 | 129 | |
23 | Timberwolves | 21% | 101 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 104 | |||
22 | Suns | 118 |
Wednesday, November 11, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Knicks | 31% | 103 | 93 | |
12 | Hornets | 69% | 110 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Lakers | 99 | |||
24 | Magic | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Raptors | 64% | 105 | 119 | |
30 | 76ers | 36% | 100 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 102 | |||
10 | Celtics | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 26% | 106 | 98 | |
7 | Hawks | 74% | 115 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 108 | |||
15 | Mavericks | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Nets | 19% | 102 | 106 | |
5 | Rockets | 81% | 115 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 100 | |||
8 | Grizzlies | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bucks | 40% | 101 | 102 | |
26 | Nuggets | 60% | 105 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pistons | 92 | |||
22 | Kings | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 69% | 109 | 113 | |
18 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 102 | 101 |
Tuesday, November 10, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Jazz | 114 | |||
3 | Cavaliers | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Thunder | 56% | 113 | 125 | |
19 | Wizards | 44% | 110 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Lakers | 88 | |||
11 | Heat | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Knicks | 32% | 102 | 111 | |
9 | Raptors | 68% | 109 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Celtics | 99 | |||
26 | Bucks | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Hornets | 58% | 106 | 104 | |
23 | Timberwolves | 42% | 104 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 105 | |||
20 | Pelicans | 120 |
Monday, November 9, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Magic | 39% | 100 | 84 | |
16 | Pacers | 61% | 104 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Bulls | 111 | |||
30 | 76ers | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Timberwolves | 26% | 100 | 117 | |
7 | Hawks | 74% | 108 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Trail Blazers | 104 | |||
27 | Nuggets | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 73% | 112 | 106 | |
21 | Kings | 27% | 104 | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pistons | 95 | |||
1 | Warriors | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Grizzlies | 33% | 104 | 92 | |
4 | Clippers | 67% | 110 | 94 |