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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 18, 2015
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Timberwolves38%105101
23Magic62%109104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 20.7
38.2
33.2
28
60%
5
1
0
1
2
2
3
2
12-14
86%
8-16
6-14
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 20.0
37.4
27.6
21
72%
12
0
0
1
6
4
3
9
5-6
83%
8-11
5-11
73%
49%
0-1
0%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.1
34.9
23.2
8
34%
12
12
1
1
0
3
2
10
2-2
100%
3-10
2-6
30%
39%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 35.7
29.9
17.4
4
67%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
0-0
-
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 24.7
16.3
9.5
0
0%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-5
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.7
29.8
26.0
14
58%
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
45%
2-5
40%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 32.8
21.4
21.9
12
62%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
5-6
83%
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
1-2
50%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 25.8
21.0
18.7
7
51%
7
1
2
1
5
1
1
6
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.5
18.6
22.2
3
38%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-4
25%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 23.0
17.5
18.4
4
29%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 39.7
13.6
0
1-3
48%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 19.5
2.9
0
0-1
41%
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 29.4
2.3
0
0-0
53%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 39.5
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.1
42.9
36.0
26
69%
4
3
3
1
0
3
2
2
3-4
75%
4-10
4-8
40%
51%
5-7
71%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
42.4
34.0
12
38%
10
2
0
1
0
0
2
8
2-2
100%
5-13
5-9
38%
52%
0-2
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.7
40.9
33.2
24
48%
7
6
4
2
0
1
2
5
2-5
40%
11-23
4-9
48%
45%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.5
20.1
24.0
1
6%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1-4
25%
0-4
4-8
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
16.1
29.8
8
31%
8
1
1
1
0
0
6
2
0-0
-
4-13
7-14
31%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.7
26.9
4.8
5
40%
10
1
0
0
1
2
3
7
3-3
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.9
21.6
1.9
8
33%
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-9
0-1
11%
48%
2-3
67%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
14.7
16.2
9
48%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
44%
2-4
50%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.2
13.8
24.3
5
64%
2
2
0
1
2
1
2
0
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.3
9.9
15.8
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 20.7
8.5
14.4
2
33%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.5
7.2
16.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-2
0%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
3.7
0
0-0
48%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.