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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 21, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Knicks30%103107
6Rockets70%110102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 20.3
35.8
26.2
24
82%
14
2
0
1
7
3
5
9
6-6
100%
6-9
4-9
67%
49%
2-3
67%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
35.2
28.6
16
42%
6
3
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-2
0%
2-11
3-7
18%
47%
4-7
57%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.1
32.8
27.2
11
94%
0
7
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
46%
3-5
60%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.5
25.0
34.8
14
60%
6
0
0
1
0
3
3
3
3-4
75%
4-8
7-15
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 27.6
24.9
26.0
8
63%
6
2
0
0
0
1
4
2
2-3
67%
3-5
3-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.6
24.4
17.0
8
45%
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.0
24.1
23.0
12
58%
3
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
2-4
50%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.1
13.3
15.4
6
45%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
6-6
100%
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.5
10.5
11.9
6
44%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.0
7.5
6.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26.0
6.5
12.2
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 31.7
6.4
0
0-1
41%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25.7
5.7
0
1-2
50%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
38.3
36.5
24
54%
7
10
3
2
2
3
1
6
5-5
100%
5-16
5-10
31%
49%
3-4
75%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.9
36.9
27.9
18
50%
9
0
1
1
0
1
6
3
7-9
78%
4-13
4-8
31%
54%
1-1
100%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.4
36.8
32.9
10
49%
5
3
0
2
0
1
0
5
3-5
60%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-5
20%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.2
31.0
20.4
11
50%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
3-8
38%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
30.1
14.3
16
71%
14
1
1
0
0
2
6
8
2-5
40%
7-9
2-3
78%
55%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.7
20.1
18.5
8
51%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
2-6
33%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.5
19.0
18.6
12
67%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
2-4
50%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.0
16.8
21.7
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
11.0
7.3
3
52%
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.0
31.5
1
5-8
58%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.8
8.5
0
1-2
45%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.4
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.