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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 14, 2015
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Nets7%9799
1Warriors93%118107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.0
43.8
30.3
28
60%
4
9
2
1
0
2
0
4
8-8
100%
7-15
4-9
47%
43%
2-5
40%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.6
41.9
34.5
18
41%
9
1
1
1
3
1
4
5
2-2
100%
8-20
7-15
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.4
41.4
34.8
6
25%
4
3
1
1
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
38.6
28.1
26
57%
10
3
3
1
0
1
3
7
2-2
100%
12-21
5-10
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 20.9
31.9
16.4
7
51%
13
2
2
1
1
1
4
9
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
41%
0-1
0%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
34.9
30.6
2
17%
6
2
2
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
4-7
100%
49%
0-5
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.0
13.3
15.4
6
77%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
40%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.1
11.0
17.0
2
25%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.1
8.2
13.9
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.7
0.1
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
5.5
0
0-1
39%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.8
2.5
0
0-0
41%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.1
2.1
0
0-0
43%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.5
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.7
43.8
35.3
34
53%
3
6
1
2
0
4
0
3
3-3
100%
8-15
5-9
53%
55%
5-16
31%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
42.0
32.2
16
44%
10
12
2
2
4
4
2
8
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
53%
2-7
29%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
31.4
31.4
13
64%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
5-5
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.4
20.8
2.6
8
80%
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.1
18.2
19.4
3
31%
5
1
0
0
2
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
56%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.8
37.9
27.9
15
63%
6
6
2
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
56%
3-6
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.0
31.9
18.5
10
71%
18
4
2
0
3
2
5
13
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
57%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.2
29.9
20.6
6
38%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
53%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
9.3
3.8
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
33.8
1
4-8
51%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.3
5.5
0
1-3
49%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.9
3.8
0
1-1
55%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.3
2.6
0
0-1
52%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.0
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.