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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 20, 2015
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Jazz43%10393
9Mavericks57%105102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.7
38.4
34.4
22
66%
7
4
1
1
0
3
3
4
4-6
67%
6-10
5-10
60%
47%
2-4
50%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 23.1
36.0
33.1
13
41%
1
4
1
1
0
3
1
0
3-4
75%
5-10
4-7
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.4
36.0
33.1
8
65%
12
1
2
1
1
1
5
7
4-5
80%
2-4
4-7
50%
57%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 24.4
35.7
30.5
18
64%
7
2
0
1
0
3
4
3
0-0
-
9-14
7-13
64%
52%
0-0
-
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 23.5
15.1
16.2
8
57%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
2-4
50%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 24.3
30.4
27.4
15
45%
5
0
0
1
1
1
1
4
6-6
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
45%
1-5
20%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 23.0
22.5
20.9
7
44%
7
2
0
1
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
42%
1-3
33%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.0
14.6
17.7
2
25%
7
0
0
1
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 20.0
4.7
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.1
3.6
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 25.7
1.8
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 25.6
1.1
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Elijah Millsap
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.3
3.3
0
0-1
39%
Tibor Pleiss
C · 7'3" 256 · 26.0
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.8
38.8
28.8
15
59%
12
4
2
1
0
1
4
8
3-4
75%
6-11
3-7
55%
46%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.4
35.7
32.4
23
76%
6
8
3
1
0
3
0
6
5-5
100%
3-6
3-8
50%
44%
4-7
57%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.1
32.1
26.2
7
28%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-8
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.4
32.0
27.5
19
79%
4
2
1
1
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-9
4-9
56%
49%
3-3
100%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.1
22.2
19.3
9
56%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
1-4
25%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.3
22.0
22.7
11
67%
4
1
2
1
1
0
2
2
5-5
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.4
21.8
17.4
12
55%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
6-10
2-4
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.7
17.1
21.0
2
25%
1
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.4
15.2
25.0
4
34%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.2
2.9
14.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.1
0.3
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.0
4.4
0
0-1
46%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.4
1.4
0
0-0
48%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.8
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.