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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 16, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Celtics
111
6Rockets
95
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.7
30
30
4
9
6
5
2
0
5
1
8
2-4
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
0-6
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.4
28
29
16
3
0
2
2
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
49%
1-3
33%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.7
25
28
9
6
3
0
1
1
0
4
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
49%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.8
24
32
23
3
6
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
5-5
5-10
100%
47%
4-7
57%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.5
22
27
6
6
3
3
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
57%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.6
23
17
8
6
2
1
1
1
3
3
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
1-6
17%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.0
20
21
21
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
4-7
57%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
18
25
7
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
3-3
100%
2-3
3-8
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.7
14
11
6
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.8
14
4
9
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
3-6
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.1
11
8
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-2
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 21.7
6
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-1
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
5
15
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.4
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.4
32
31
19
9
0
3
2
1
4
1
8
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
4-10
40%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
30
38
16
1
3
0
2
0
4
0
1
4-4
100%
0-3
6-12
0%
49%
4-7
57%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.9
30
20
5
12
3
0
1
1
2
4
8
1-2
50%
2-4
4-6
50%
58%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.9
28
28
15
8
4
1
1
0
1
3
5
1-4
25%
7-13
5-9
54%
54%
0-1
0%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.0
27
33
7
2
5
1
1
0
4
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.7
24
19
11
3
2
3
1
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
1-7
14%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
18
18
5
7
1
1
0
2
0
4
3
1-4
25%
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.2
18
17
3
1
3
0
1
1
3
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.4
12
22
8
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
12
9
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.8
10
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-2
0%
1-3
0-0
33%
44%
0-0
-
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.3
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.