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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 11, 2015
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pistons54%11192
23Kings46%109101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.7
40.2
36.5
15
48%
1
0
0
2
1
3
0
1
3-4
75%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
2-6
33%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
35.8
37.7
16
45%
9
3
5
1
0
3
2
7
5-6
83%
4-11
5-10
36%
49%
1-4
25%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.3
34.6
35.0
14
50%
17
0
2
1
0
5
9
8
0-2
0%
7-13
8-15
54%
55%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.6
32.7
30.5
16
45%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
4-9
6-13
44%
48%
1-6
17%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
16.9
21.8
8
67%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.5
27.3
23.7
8
34%
5
2
2
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
0-3
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.4
23.8
18.4
8
80%
4
4
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
2-4
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.7
15.3
15.3
5
36%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
40%
1-5
20%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.9
13.4
11.7
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.6
3.5
0
0-1
43%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.3
2.4
0
0-0
50%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.7
2.3
0
0-0
43%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.7
48.0
36.3
14
41%
11
15
3
2
0
5
2
9
1-2
50%
5-14
5-11
36%
47%
1-2
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.2
39.4
30.4
25
77%
6
3
1
1
0
2
0
6
4-5
80%
9-12
6-12
75%
47%
1-2
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.2
37.7
28.2
33
64%
9
1
0
1
1
4
1
8
7-11
64%
7-16
7-15
44%
47%
4-5
80%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 26.6
17.2
11.2
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.2
16.1
21.4
4
67%
5
0
1
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
27.9
25.7
9
77%
11
1
1
1
0
2
0
11
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.6
27.8
28.3
9
51%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
22.9
25.3
4
40%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.7
3.0
16.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.1
5.9
0
1-1
48%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 35.7
4.0
0
0-0
43%
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
3.6
0
0-1
46%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.9
1.4
0
0-0
48%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.2
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.