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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 22, 2015
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Celtics68%111101
29Nets32%104111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.0
40
25
27
4
1
2
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
7-14
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.8
31
29
27
2
6
1
1
0
3
0
2
9-11
82%
6-11
4-8
55%
49%
2-8
25%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.7
30
24
9
10
3
0
1
0
2
4
6
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
50%
1-3
33%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.4
26
29
5
2
2
0
2
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.6
18
24
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
59%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
32
24
13
7
3
2
1
0
2
1
6
1-2
50%
6-7
3-7
86%
46%
0-3
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.6
19
18
8
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
53%
2-3
67%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.7
18
13
2
5
1
0
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-2
0%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.1
8
7
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
7
14
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.8
7
7
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 21.7
5
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-1
100%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.3
5
0
0-0
49%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.4
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.4
36
29
17
4
4
1
1
0
3
0
4
4-6
67%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
3-6
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.6
35
32
23
10
0
1
1
0
2
5
5
3-4
75%
10-20
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.1
33
29
22
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
8-10
80%
7-10
4-8
70%
46%
0-1
0%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 20.9
31
25
9
7
4
5
1
1
1
3
4
5-6
83%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
28
30
11
12
1
1
1
0
1
3
9
3-4
75%
4-8
6-12
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.1
21
11
12
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
6-9
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
18
21
5
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
1-5
20%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.1
18
21
7
0
5
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.7
10
12
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
1
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.1
10
11
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.0
11
0
1-2
43%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
6
0
0-1
41%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.9
2
0
0-0
44%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.5
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.