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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 9, 2015
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Trail Blazers
104
27Nuggets
108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.3
38
35
30
3
7
1
1
0
1
3
0
9-9
100%
6-15
5-11
40%
49%
3-7
43%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
36
33
16
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
47%
2-5
40%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.7
34
27
11
9
4
0
0
0
2
1
8
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
54%
1-4
25%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.1
34
33
12
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
49%
2-7
29%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.7
33
26
15
7
2
2
1
2
1
0
7
5-7
71%
5-7
4-7
71%
58%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.6
23
23
11
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
1-5
20%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.4
15
20
3
5
1
2
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
0-1
3-5
0%
56%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
14
23
6
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
1-1
100%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.2
13
12
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.0
4
0
0-1
45%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.0
2
0
0-0
41%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
2
0
0-0
44%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.5
2
0
0-1
49%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.9
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 22.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.3
35
33
6
5
3
1
1
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
47%
0-5
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.0
31
26
17
8
1
1
1
0
2
4
4
1-4
25%
8-13
5-9
62%
54%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.2
30
14
19
13
1
0
0
3
0
2
11
5-11
45%
7-11
2-5
64%
51%
0-0
-
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.7
28
29
18
6
5
0
1
2
2
1
5
5-7
71%
5-9
4-9
56%
43%
1-3
33%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.2
25
26
7
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.8
23
27
11
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.1
20
17
13
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
3-4
75%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
20
15
2
3
1
0
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.7
16
15
10
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
13
3
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.7
21
1
2-4
46%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.1
6
0
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.7
5
0
0-0
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.