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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 9, 2015
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs73%112106
21Kings27%10488
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
32
33
24
3
2
2
2
2
0
0
3
1-2
50%
7-9
7-13
78%
54%
3-4
75%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
27
28
5
1
4
0
1
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
1-4
25%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.3
26
25
16
9
1
0
1
2
2
0
9
2-2
100%
7-10
6-12
70%
47%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.5
23
26
11
14
2
0
1
0
2
4
10
3-4
75%
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.5
21
26
13
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
5-10
56%
50%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.2
23
20
9
1
8
4
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.6
20
17
6
2
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.2
19
19
8
6
2
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.3
18
19
6
3
5
2
1
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-4
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.5
14
8
6
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.1
10
9
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.2
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.6
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.7
48
31
8
6
12
3
1
0
9
0
6
0-0
-
4-9
5-10
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.2
32
30
10
5
4
0
1
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
5-13
6-12
38%
46%
0-2
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.2
32
25
21
12
3
2
1
1
4
4
8
11-15
73%
5-16
6-13
31%
46%
0-4
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.2
22
21
4
6
0
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 26.6
7
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.6
32
27
17
1
5
0
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
45%
3-4
75%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
26
25
2
6
1
1
1
3
1
1
5
0-2
0%
1-2
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
24
27
16
5
0
3
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.7
13
18
7
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.1
3
7
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-1
100%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 35.7
6
0
0-1
41%
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
5
0
0-1
43%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.9
2
0
0-0
46%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.2
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.